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Bundesliga
Referee: Christian Dingert
Nurnberg
S T T U U
0–2
Full-time
Stuttgart
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nurnberg Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
4,3
3,3
Scored
1,2
0,5
Conceded
3,2
2,8
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-2,3
This season — Bundesliga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 15%
20%
10%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
50%
70%
Both score Ø 40%
50%
30%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
1,1
0,6
Conceded
2,2
2,4
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
10 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 9
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nurnberg 15. · Stuttgart 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 10 7 3 0 +20 24
2 M'gladbach 10 6 2 2 +11 20
3 Bayern Munich 10 6 2 2 +7 20
4 RB Leipzig 10 5 4 1 +10 19
5 Ein Frankfurt 10 5 2 3 +10 17
6 Werder Bremen 10 5 2 3 +2 17
7 Hoffenheim 10 5 1 4 +8 16
8 Hertha 10 4 4 2 +2 16
9 Augsburg 10 3 4 3 +2 13
10 Freiburg 10 3 4 3 -2 13
11 Wolfsburg 11 3 3 5 -2 12
12 Mainz 10 3 3 4 -4 12
13 Leverkusen 10 3 2 5 -5 11
14 Schalke 04 10 3 1 6 -4 10
15 Nurnberg 10 2 4 4 -11 10
16 Hannover 11 2 3 6 -8 9
17 Stuttgart 10 1 2 7 -18 5
18 Fortuna Dusseldorf 10 1 2 7 -18 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nurnberg Stuttgart
Half-time 0–0
F. Palacios 🔁
↦ S. Kerk
56′
68′
T. Baumgartl 0–1
O. Petrak 🔁
↦ H. Behrens
70′
Alexander Fuchs 🟨
77′
78′
🔁 E. Thommy
↦ Pablo Maffeo
82′
E. Thommy 0–2
Matheus Pereira 🔁
↦ A. Fuchs
83′
91′
🔁 A. Aidonis
↦ S. Ascacíbar
94′
🔁 C. Akolo
↦ M. Gómez
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Nurnberg

4-3-3
26 C. Mathenia G
33 G. Margreitter D
8 R. Bauer D
23 T. Leibold D
28 L. Mühl D
18 H. Behrens M
10 S. Kerk M
35 A. Fuchs M
38 S. Rhein M
24 V. Misidjan F
11 A. Zreľák F
Bench (7)
21 F. Palacios
31 O. Petrak
27 Matheus Pereira
19 T. Knöll
4 Ewerton
1 F. Bredlow
29 P. Erras

Coach: M. Köllner

Stuttgart

4-4-1-1
1 R. Zieler G
32 A. Beck D
3 D. Aogo M
4 M. Kempf D
5 T. Baumgartl D
7 Pablo Maffeo M
21 B. Pavard D
20 C. Gentner M
6 S. Ascacíbar M
27 M. Gómez F
22 N. González F
Bench (7)
17 E. Thommy
23 A. Aidonis
19 C. Akolo
13 J. Grahl
36 H. Sarpei
8 G. Castro
10 D. Didavi

Coach: M. Weinzierl

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Christian Dingert · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.