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La Liga
Referee: Alberto Undiano
Sociedad
S S T T U
0–1
Full-time
Real Madrid
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Real Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,2
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,8
4,2
Scored
0,8
3,5
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+2,8
This season — La Liga · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 51%
31%
71%
Points per game
1,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
49%
74%
Both score Ø 50%
43%
57%
Average goals
2,5
3,9
Scored
1,2
3,0
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+2,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
11 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 6
2 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 17
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sociedad 11. · Real Madrid 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 35 26 4 5 +73 82
2 Ath Madrid 35 26 4 5 +43 82
3 Real Madrid 35 25 6 4 +72 81
4 Villarreal 35 17 10 8 +11 61
5 Celta 35 16 9 10 -6 57
6 Ath Bilbao 35 16 7 12 +10 55
7 Sevilla 35 14 10 11 +7 52
8 Valencia 35 11 11 13 +2 44
9 Las Palmas 35 12 7 16 -4 43
10 Malaga 35 10 12 13 -1 42
11 Sociedad 35 11 9 15 -4 42
12 Eibar 36 11 9 16 -10 42
13 Betis 35 10 11 14 -17 41
14 La Coruna 35 7 18 10 -14 39
15 Espanol 35 10 7 18 -32 37
16 Vallecano 35 8 11 16 -21 35
17 Sp Gijon 36 9 8 19 -24 35
18 Granada 35 8 9 18 -24 33
19 Getafe 35 8 8 19 -31 32
20 Levante 35 7 8 20 -30 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sociedad Real Madrid
Asier Illarramendi 🟨
36′
41′
🟨 Gareth Bale
Markel Bergara 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
Xabi Prieto 🟨
48′
59′
🟨 Sergio Ramos
62′
🟨 Nacho Fernández
Joseba Zaldúa 🟨
64′
65′
🔁 Jesé
↦ Borja Mayoral
D. Reyes 🔁
↦ Bergara
68′
73′
🔁 Isco
↦ J. Rodríguez
75′
🟨 Luka Modrić
Jon Bautista 🔁
↦ Bruma
76′
80′
G. Bale 0–1
Lucas Vázquez
Litri 🔁
↦ Yuri
85′
85′
🔁 M. Kovačić
↦ L. Modrić
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Sociedad

1 G. Rulli G
3 Mikel González D
19 Yuri D
20 Joseba Zaldúa D
30 Aritz Elustondo D
10 Xabi Prieto M
4 Illarramendi M
17 Zurutuza M
5 Bergara M
28 Mikel Oiarzabal M
7 Bruma M
Bench (7)
23 D. Reyes
35 Jon Bautista
21 Litri
8 Granero
13 Oier
14 Rubén Pardo
24 De La Bella

Real Madrid

1 K. Navas G
4 Sergio Ramos D
23 Danilo D
6 Nacho D
2 R. Varane D
19 L. Modrić M
11 G. Bale F
10 J. Rodríguez M
14 Casemiro M
18 Lucas Vázquez M
29 Borja Mayoral F
Bench (7)
20 Jesé
22 Isco
16 M. Kovačić
3 Pepe
12 Marcelo
13 Kiko Casilla
15 Daniel Carvajal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Alberto Undiano · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.