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Bundesliga

Referee: Sven Jablonski

Leverkusen

U S T U T

4–0

Full-time

Freiburg

U T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Freiburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

4,3

2,3

Scored

2,2

0,8

Conceded

2,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,7

This season — Bundesliga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

4,0

1,7

Scored

1,3

0,3

Conceded

2,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

64% Possession 36%

22 Shots 4

9 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 4

4 Offside 0

4 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leverkusen 16. · Freiburg 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	4	3	1	0	+4	10
2	Bayern Munich	4	3	0	1	+6	9
3	Schalke 04	4	3	0	1	+4	9
4	Hoffenheim	4	2	2	0	+3	8
5	Dortmund	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	RB Leipzig	4	2	1	1	+3	7
7	Augsburg	4	2	1	1	+3	7
8	Hamburg	4	2	0	2	-1	6
9	Stuttgart	4	2	0	2	-2	6
10	M'gladbach	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Hertha	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Ein Frankfurt	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Wolfsburg	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Mainz	4	1	0	3	-4	3
15	Freiburg	3	0	2	1	-3	2
16	Leverkusen	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	Werder Bremen	4	0	1	3	-4	1
18	FC Koln	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hoffenheim	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Schalke 04	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Hannover	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Stuttgart	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	RB Leipzig	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Augsburg	2	1	1	0	+3	4
8	Hertha	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Mainz	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	M'gladbach	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Hamburg	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Freiburg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Leverkusen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Wolfsburg	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	FC Koln	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Ein Frankfurt	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Werder Bremen	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	2	1	1	0	+3	4
2	Hannover	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Ein Frankfurt	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Hamburg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
5	Bayern Munich	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	RB Leipzig	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Augsburg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Wolfsburg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	M'gladbach	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Hoffenheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Werder Bremen	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Hertha	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Freiburg	1	0	0	1	-3	0
15	Leverkusen	2	0	0	2	-4	0
16	Stuttgart	2	0	0	2	-4	0
17	FC Koln	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Mainz	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.