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Bundesliga

Referee: Guido Winkmann

Leverkusen

S S S S T

3–2

Full-time

FC Ingolstadt 04

S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen FC Ingolstadt 04

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

2,3

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,0

This season — Bundesliga · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 41%

52%

30%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

61%

30%

Both score Ø 44%

48%

39%

Average goals

2,8

2,1

Scored

1,6

0,9

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

42% Possession 58%

10 Shots 21

6 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 4

3 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leverkusen 3. · FC Ingolstadt 04 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	33	27	4	2	+61	85
2	Dortmund	33	24	5	4	+48	77
3	Leverkusen	33	17	6	10	+15	57
4	M'gladbach	33	16	4	13	+15	52
5	Mainz	33	14	7	12	+4	49
6	Hertha	33	14	7	12	+0	49
7	Schalke 04	33	14	7	12	-1	49
8	Wolfsburg	33	11	9	13	-4	42
9	FC Koln	33	10	12	11	-4	42
10	FC Ingolstadt 04	33	10	10	13	-8	40
11	Augsburg	33	9	11	13	-8	38
12	Hamburg	33	10	8	15	-8	38
13	Darmstadt	33	9	11	13	-13	38
14	Hoffenheim	33	9	10	14	-12	37
15	Ein Frankfurt	33	9	9	15	-17	36
16	Werder Bremen	33	9	8	16	-16	35
17	Stuttgart	33	9	6	18	-23	33
18	Hannover	33	7	4	22	-29	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	16	14	2	0	+35	44
2	Bayern Munich	16	14	1	1	+41	43
3	M'gladbach	17	13	1	3	+24	40
4	Hertha	17	9	5	3	+9	32
5	Leverkusen	16	9	3	4	+13	30
6	Wolfsburg	16	8	5	3	+13	29
7	Schalke 04	17	8	5	4	+4	29
8	Mainz	16	8	3	5	+5	27
9	FC Ingolstadt 04	17	7	5	5	+4	26
10	Hoffenheim	16	6	6	4	+0	24
11	Ein Frankfurt	17	6	6	5	-2	24
12	FC Koln	17	5	5	7	-2	20
13	Hamburg	17	5	4	8	-3	19
14	Stuttgart	17	6	1	10	-10	19
15	Werder Bremen	16	4	5	7	-4	17
16	Augsburg	16	3	6	7	-7	15
17	Darmstadt	16	2	6	8	-12	12
18	Hannover	17	4	0	13	-15	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	17	13	3	1	+20	42
2	Dortmund	17	10	3	4	+13	33
3	Leverkusen	17	8	3	6	+2	27
4	Darmstadt	17	7	5	5	-1	26
5	Augsburg	17	6	5	6	-1	23
6	Mainz	17	6	4	7	-1	22
7	FC Koln	16	5	7	4	-2	22
8	Schalke 04	16	6	2	8	-5	20
9	Hamburg	16	5	4	7	-5	19
10	Werder Bremen	17	5	3	9	-12	18
11	Hertha	16	5	2	9	-9	17
12	FC Ingolstadt 04	16	3	5	8	-12	14
13	Stuttgart	16	3	5	8	-13	14
14	Hoffenheim	17	3	4	10	-12	13
15	Hannover	16	3	4	9	-14	13
16	Wolfsburg	17	3	4	10	-17	13
17	M'gladbach	16	3	3	10	-9	12
18	Ein Frankfurt	16	3	3	10	-15	12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.