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Bundesliga
Referee: Marco Fritz
Hertha
S S T U T
0–2
Full-time
Bayern Munich
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Bayern Munich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
2,0
0,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+2,0
This season — Bundesliga · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 65%
47%
83%
Points per game
1,6
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
43%
63%
Both score Ø 40%
43%
37%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
1,3
2,4
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+1,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

25% Possession 75%
9 Shots 6
0 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 3
4 Offside 3
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hertha 4. · Bayern Munich 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 30 25 3 2 +58 78
2 Dortmund 30 22 5 3 +42 71
3 Leverkusen 30 15 6 9 +14 51
4 Hertha 30 14 7 9 +4 49
5 M'gladbach 30 14 3 13 +12 45
6 Mainz 30 13 6 11 +3 45
7 Schalke 04 30 13 6 11 -2 45
8 Wolfsburg 30 10 9 11 +1 39
9 FC Ingolstadt 04 30 10 9 11 -6 39
10 Hamburg 31 10 7 14 -7 37
11 FC Koln 30 9 10 11 -7 37
12 Darmstadt 30 8 11 11 -10 35
13 Hoffenheim 30 8 10 12 -10 34
14 Augsburg 30 8 9 13 -10 33
15 Stuttgart 30 9 6 15 -14 33
16 Werder Bremen 31 8 7 16 -20 31
17 Ein Frankfurt 30 6 9 15 -20 27
18 Hannover 30 6 3 21 -28 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hertha Bayern Munich
37′
🟨 Rafinha
41′
🟨 Thomas Müller
Half-time 0–0
J. Schieber 🔁
↦ V. Ibišević
46′
48′
A. Vidal 0–1
M. Götze
52′
🟨 Arturo Vidal
57′
🔁 F. Ribéry
↦ T. Müller
57′
🔁 D. Alaba
↦ Rafinha
S. Kalou 🔁
↦ V. Stocker
64′
77′
🟨 Thiago Alcántara
79′
Douglas Costa 0–2
M. Benatia
F. Kohls 🔁
↦ T. Cigerci
83′
84′
🔁 Javi Martínez
↦ R. Lewandowski
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Hertha

1 T. Kraft G
28 F. Lustenberger M
15 S. Langkamp D
2 P. Pekarík D
21 M. Plattenhardt D
34 M. Mittelstädt D
14 V. Stocker M
17 T. Cigerci M
20 M. Weiser D
5 N. Stark D
19 V. Ibišević F
Bench (7)
16 J. Schieber
8 S. Kalou
31 F. Kohls
9 A. Baumjohann
13 J. Hegeler
23 J. van den Bergh
30 S. Burchert

Bayern Munich

1 M. Neuer G
4 S. Taşçı D
13 Rafinha D
5 M. Benatia D
23 A. Vidal M
11 Douglas Costa M
6 Thiago Alcântara M
19 M. Götze M
32 J. Kimmich D
25 T. Müller M
9 R. Lewandowski F
Bench (6)
7 F. Ribéry
27 D. Alaba
8 Javi Martínez
14 Xabi Alonso
26 S. Ulreich
29 K. Coman

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Marco Fritz · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.