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Bundesliga
Referee: Guido Winkmann
Mainz
U S U T T
0–0
Full-time
Hamburg
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mainz Hamburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 37%
42%
32%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
55%
58%
Both score Ø 55%
55%
55%
Average goals
2,7
2,6
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
12 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mainz 6. · Hamburg 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 31 26 3 2 +60 81
2 Dortmund 31 23 5 3 +45 74
3 Leverkusen 31 16 6 9 +15 54
4 Hertha 31 14 7 10 +2 49
5 M'gladbach 31 15 3 13 +14 48
6 Mainz 31 13 6 12 +2 45
7 Schalke 04 31 13 6 12 -3 45
8 FC Koln 32 10 11 11 -4 41
9 FC Ingolstadt 04 31 10 10 11 -6 40
10 Wolfsburg 31 10 9 12 -1 39
11 Hamburg 31 10 7 14 -7 37
12 Augsburg 32 9 10 13 -8 37
13 Darmstadt 31 8 11 12 -13 35
14 Hoffenheim 31 8 10 13 -12 34
15 Stuttgart 31 9 6 16 -17 33
16 Werder Bremen 31 8 7 16 -20 31
17 Ein Frankfurt 31 7 9 15 -19 30
18 Hannover 31 6 4 21 -28 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Dec -15 Hamburg – Mainz 1–3

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.