Championship
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Middlesbrough
Rotherham
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Middlesbrough
|
13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | +9 | 25 |
| 2 |
Sheffield United
|
13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | +7 | 25 |
| 3 |
West Brom
|
13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +13 | 24 |
| 4 |
Derby
|
12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 21 |
| 5 |
Norwich
|
13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 21 |
| 6 |
Blackburn
|
13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | +0 | 21 |
| 7 |
Leeds
|
12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +9 | 20 |
| 8 |
Wigan
|
13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 20 |
| 9 |
Nott'm Forest
|
13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | +3 | 19 |
| 10 |
Bristol City
|
13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |
Sheffield Weds
|
13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +0 | 19 |
| 12 |
Brentford
|
13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +5 | 18 |
| 13 |
Aston Villa
|
13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +1 | 18 |
| 14 |
Birmingham
|
13 | 3 | 8 | 2 | +2 | 17 |
| 15 |
Swansea
|
13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | +2 | 17 |
| 16 |
QPR
|
13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 17 |
| 17 |
Stoke
|
13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 16 |
| 18 |
Bolton
|
13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 16 |
| 19 |
Reading
|
13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -3 | 12 |
| 20 |
Rotherham
|
13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 12 |
| 21 |
Preston
|
13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 10 |
| 22 |
Millwall
|
13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 10 |
| 23 |
Hull
|
13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -9 | 9 |
| 24 |
Ipswich
|
13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -9 | 9 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
P. McNair
M
Coach: T. Pulis
S. Ajayi
D
Z. Vyner
D
R. Manning
M
Coach: P. Warne
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sheffield Weds
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
Nott'm Forest
Ipswich
Middlesbrough
Hull
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
Swansea
Darren Bond · 99 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.