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Championship
Referee: James Linington
Hull
S T T U U
1–2
Full-time
Preston
U U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hull Preston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
1,7
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,8
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,0
This season — Championship · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 33%
22%
44%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
67%
22%
Both score Ø 50%
78%
22%
Average goals
3,4
1,3
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,8
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%
12 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 2
0 Offside 3
21 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hull 17. · Preston 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leeds 9 6 2 1 +12 20
2 Wolves 9 6 2 1 +6 20
3 Cardiff 9 6 2 1 +6 20
4 Sheffield United 9 6 0 3 +4 18
5 Preston 9 4 4 1 +6 16
6 Ipswich 8 5 0 3 +3 15
7 Bristol City 9 3 5 1 +5 14
8 Middlesbrough 8 4 2 2 +5 14
9 Sheffield Weds 9 3 4 2 +1 13
10 Aston Villa 8 3 3 2 +2 12
11 QPR 9 3 3 3 +0 12
12 Nott'm Forest 9 4 0 5 -3 12
13 Norwich 9 3 3 3 -4 12
14 Fulham 9 2 5 2 +1 11
15 Derby 8 3 2 3 +0 11
16 Millwall 9 2 4 3 +2 10
17 Hull 9 2 3 4 -1 9
18 Reading 8 2 3 3 -1 9
19 Burton Albion 9 2 3 4 -9 9
20 Brentford 9 1 4 4 -2 7
21 Barnsley 8 2 1 5 -4 7
22 Sunderland 9 1 3 5 -6 6
23 Birmingham 9 1 2 6 -8 5
24 Bolton 9 0 2 7 -15 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hull Preston
Sebastian Larsson 🟨
24′
M. Clark 🔁
↦ S. Kingsley
25′
Michael Dawson 🟨
36′
Fraizer Campbell 🟨
37′
Allan McGregor 🟨
37′
37′
T. Barkhuizen 0–1
Half-time 0–1
K. Grosicki 🔁
↦ F. Tomori
46′
1–1 J. Bowen
F. Campbell
50′
61′
🟨 Darnell Fisher
67′
🔁 J. Harrop
↦ J. Hugill
67′
🔁 C. Robinson
↦ J. Welsh
78′
🔁 D. Horgan
↦ T. Barkhuizen
N. Dicko 🔁
↦ F. Campbell
84′
88′
C. Robinson 1–2
D. Horgan
90′
🟨 Daniel Johnson
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Hull

3-4-2-1
1 A. McGregor G
21 M. Dawson D
5 M. Hector D
28 S. Kingsley D
34 O. Aina D
29 F. Tomori D
16 S. Larsson M
8 D. Meyler M
4 J. Irvine M
25 F. Campbell F
20 J. Bowen M
Bench (7)
24 M. Clark
7 K. Grosicki
9 N. Dicko
3 O. Mazuch
11 Jon Toral
13 W. Mannion
22 M. Henriksen

Coach: L. Slutsky

Preston

4-2-3-1
22 C. Maxwell G
23 P. Huntington D
14 D. Fisher D
20 B. Davies D
19 J. Welsh M
29 T. Barkhuizen M
11 D. Johnson M
8 A. Browne M
32 J. Earl D
24 S. Maguire F
9 J. Hugill F
Bench (7)
10 J. Harrop
37 C. Robinson
7 D. Horgan
15 C. Woods
17 T. Spurr
27 S. Mavididi
28 M. Hudson

Coach: A. Neil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

James Linington · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.