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Eliteserien
Referee: Svein Oddvar Moen
Stabaek
U T T S U
1–2
Full-time
Tromso
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stabaek Tromso
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,8
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
This season — Eliteserien · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 30%
36%
24%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
68%
68%
Both score Ø 64%
64%
64%
Average goals
3,4
3,1
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

60% Possession 40%
14 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
11 Corners 2
2 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stabaek 8. · Tromso 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 25 16 6 3 +34 54
2 Molde 25 13 5 7 +13 44
3 Sarpsborg 08 25 11 10 4 +9 43
4 Brann 25 11 7 7 +16 40
5 Haugesund 25 11 6 8 +3 39
6 Stromsgodset 25 10 8 7 +2 38
7 Odd 25 10 5 10 -7 35
8 Stabaek 25 9 7 9 -6 34
9 Valerenga 25 9 6 10 +0 33
10 Sandefjord 25 10 3 12 -6 33
11 Lillestrom 25 8 7 10 -5 31
12 Kristiansund 26 7 9 10 -5 30
13 Sogndal 25 7 6 12 -8 27
14 Aalesund 26 6 8 12 -9 26
15 Tromso 25 6 7 12 -15 25
16 Viking 25 4 6 15 -16 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stabaek Tromso
23′
J. Gundersen 0–1
Morten Pedersen
34′
M. Bakenga 0–2
G. Åsen
Half-time 1–2
1–2 F. Boli
M. Njie
48′
Andreas Hanche-Olsen 🟨
51′
63′
🟨 Christian Landu-Landu
65′
🟨 Lasse Nilsen
O. Brynhildsen 🔁
↦ M. Njie
70′
A. El Amrani 🔁
↦ H. Skogseid
73′
74′
🔁 M. Ingebrigtsen
↦ T. Olsen
Andreas Hanche-Olsen 🟨
79′
Andreas Hanche-Olsen 🟥
79′
93′
🔁 H. Norbye
↦ M. Bakenga
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Stabaek

4-2-3-1
22 J. Alvbåge G
6 H. Skogseid D
3 M. Skjønsberg D
16 A. Hanche-Olsen D
18 J. Moe D
89 T. Brochmann M
67 T. Lumanza M
11 M. Njie M
25 H. Vetlesen M
10 F. Boli F
7 R. Gyasi M
Bench (7)
30 O. Brynhildsen
17 A. El Amrani
1 M. Sayouba
21 D. Granli
23 E. Bohinen
40 T. Børkeeiet
79 S. Pedersen

Coach: Toni Ordinas

Tromso

3-4-3
1 G. Kongshavn G
22 S. Wangberg D
3 K. Antonsen M
25 L. Nilsen M
26 J. Gundersen D
7 Morten Pedersen M
15 M. Andersen M
6 C. Landu Landu M
10 T. Olsen F
42 M. Bakenga F
23 G. Åsen F
Bench (6)
24 M. Ingebrigtsen
14 H. Norbye
4 M. Dioury
9 S. Vuk
17 A. Sigurdarson
40 Javi Jiménez

Coach: B. Flovik

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Svein Oddvar Moen · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.