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Eliteserien
Referee: Svein Oddvar Moen
Stabaek
T S T T T
0–1
Full-time
Tromso
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stabaek Tromso
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,8
This season — Eliteserien · 8/10 matches
Win Ø 23%
25%
20%
Points per game
0,9
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
50%
70%
Both score Ø 53%
25%
80%
Average goals
2,4
2,9
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,6
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
11 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 4
3 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stabaek 15. · Tromso 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 12 8 1 3 +16 25
2 Odd 10 7 1 2 +7 22
3 Bodo/Glimt 10 6 2 2 +8 20
4 Brann 12 5 3 4 +1 18
5 Kristiansund 11 5 3 3 +1 18
6 Viking 10 5 2 3 +2 17
7 Valerenga 11 5 2 4 +1 17
8 Haugesund 11 4 4 3 +7 16
9 Rosenborg 11 4 3 4 -3 15
10 Ranheim 11 4 1 6 -4 13
11 Lillestrom 11 3 3 5 -7 12
12 Sarpsborg 08 10 2 4 4 -2 10
13 Mjondalen 11 2 4 5 -6 10
14 Stromsgodset 11 2 3 6 -5 9
15 Stabaek 8 2 1 5 -7 7
16 Tromso 10 2 1 7 -9 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stabaek Tromso
38′
🟨 Juha Pirinen
Oscar Aga 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
Daniel Braaten 🔁
↦ Oscar Aga
53′
Hugo Vetlesen 🔁
↦ Steinar Stromnes
61′
Peder Vogt 🔁
↦ Nikolaj Kirk
72′
76′
Robert Taylor 0–1
77′
🔁 Mushaga Bakenga
↦ Daniel Berntsen
Luc Kassi
penalty missed
86′
89′
🔁 Artem Sokol
↦ Lasse Nilsen
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Stabaek

4-4-2
12 Marcus Sandberg G
5 Steinar Stromnes D
21 Madis Vihmann D
4 Vadim Demidov D
16 Andreas Hanche-Olsen D
3 Nikolaj Kirk M
6 Luc Kassi M
8 Emil Bohinen M
20 Ola Brynhildsen M
10 Franck Boli F
29 Oscar Aga F
Bench (7)
1 Simen Lillevik Kjellevold
30 Peder Vogt
28 Jie Sun
25 Hugo Vetlesen
7 Raymond Gyasi
17 Daniel Braaten
88 Herman Geelmuyden

Coach: J. Jönsson

Tromso

3-4-1-2
1 Gudmund Kongshavn G
5 Anders Jenssen D
22 Simen Wangberg D
3 Kent-Are Antonsen D
6 Juha Pirinen M
7 Morten Gamst Pedersen M
18 Onni Valakari M
25 Lasse Nilsen M
15 Magnus Andersen F
17 Daniel Berntsen F
11 Robert Taylor F
Bench (7)
28 Jakob Karlstrom
2 Artem Sokol
9 Brayan Rojas
14 August Mikkelsen
19 Marcus Pedersen
42 Mushaga Bakenga
30 Runar Espejord

Coach: S. Valakari

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Svein Oddvar Moen · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.