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Eliteserien
Referee: Tommy Skjerven
Stabaek
U S U S S
4–2
Full-time
Mjondalen
U U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stabaek Mjondalen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,3
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
0,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
This season — Eliteserien · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 25%
32%
18%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
43%
50%
Both score Ø 56%
43%
68%
Average goals
2,4
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

59% Possession 41%
21 Shots 15
11 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 7
3 Corners 9
2 Offside 3
3 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stabaek 9. · Mjondalen 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 28 19 5 4 +37 62
2 Bodo/Glimt 28 14 9 5 +19 51
3 Odd 28 14 7 7 +7 49
4 Rosenborg 28 13 9 6 +11 48
5 Viking 28 12 7 9 +9 43
6 Kristiansund 28 11 8 9 +4 41
7 Brann 28 10 10 8 +5 40
8 Haugesund 28 8 12 8 +4 36
9 Stabaek 28 9 9 10 +0 36
10 Valerenga 28 8 10 10 -2 34
11 Lillestrom 28 7 8 13 -14 29
12 Tromso 28 8 5 15 -18 29
13 Sarpsborg 08 28 5 13 10 -10 28
14 Mjondalen 28 5 12 11 -13 27
15 Stromsgodset 28 6 8 14 -20 26
16 Ranheim 28 6 6 16 -19 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stabaek Mjondalen
1–0 Kristoffer Askildsen
18′
22′
Christian Gauseth 1–1
39′
🟨 Vetle Winger Dragsnes
Half-time 2–1
2–1 Kasper Junker
60′
Ola Brynhildsen 🔁
↦ Luc Kassi
62′
3–1 Kasper Junker
63′
65′
🔁 Fredrik Brustad
↦ Pontus Silfwer
68′
Tonny Brochmann 3–2
Kasper Junker 🟨
73′
4–2 Kasper Junker
79′
5–2 Kasper Junker
80′
Tortol Lumanza 🔁
↦ Oliver Valaker Edvardsen
80′
Kosuke Kinoshita 🔁
↦ Kasper Junker
89′
89′
🔁 Olivier Occean
↦ Christian Gauseth
89′
🔁 Sondre Liseth
↦ Tonny Brochmann
Full-time 5–2

Line-ups

Stabaek

4-2-3-1
12 Marcus Sandberg G
2 Ronald Hernández D
3 Yaw Amankwah D
16 Andreas Hanche-Olsen D
18 Jeppe Moe D
14 Kristoffer Askildsen M
8 Emil Bohinen M
23 Oliver Valaker Edvardsen M
22 Sammy Skytte M
6 Luc Kassi M
21 Kasper Junker F
Bench (7)
1 Simen Lillevik Kjellevold
27 Nicolas Pignatel Jenssen
5 Steinar Stromnes
25 Hugo Vetlesen
67 Tortol Lumanza
20 Ola Brynhildsen
19 Kosuke Kinoshita

Coach: J. Jönsson

Mjondalen

4-4-1-1
12 Julian Faye Lund G
4 William Sell D
2 Quint Jansen D
23 Sondre Solholm Johansen D
3 Vetle Winger Dragsnes D
6 Joackim Solberg M
33 Stian Aasmundsen M
19 Pontus Silfwer M
7 Tonny Brochmann M
11 Christian Gauseth F
22 Jacob Bergstrom F
Bench (7)
32 Jorge Vieira
34 Per-Magnus Steiring
5 Alexander Hansen
15 Mathias Fredriksen
8 Fredrik Brustad
9 Sondre Liseth
10 Olivier Occean

Coach: V. Hansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tommy Skjerven · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.