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Eliteserien

Referee: Kai Erik Steen

Valerenga

U U S S T

1–0

Full-time

Lillestrom

T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

This season — Eliteserien · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 36%

45%

27%

Points per game

1,6

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

64%

Both score Ø 55%

45%

64%

Average goals

2,9

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,1

Conceded

1,5

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%

16 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 5

7 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 6

6 Offside 5

7 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valerenga 6. · Lillestrom 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brann	11	8	3	0	+14	27
2	Rosenborg	11	7	3	1	+12	24
3	Ranheim	11	7	2	2	+7	23
4	Sarpsborg 08	11	5	4	2	+7	19
5	Haugesund	11	5	3	3	+3	18
6	Valerenga	11	5	3	3	+0	18
7	Tromso	11	5	2	4	+5	17
8	Molde	11	5	2	4	+2	17
9	Odd	11	5	1	5	+4	16
10	Kristiansund	11	3	4	4	+1	13
11	Lillestrom	11	3	2	6	-6	11
12	Stabaek	11	2	4	5	-7	10
13	Stromsgodset	11	2	3	6	-5	9
14	Bodo/Glimt	11	2	3	6	-6	9
15	Start	11	2	1	8	-16	7
16	Sandefjord	11	1	2	8	-15	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tromso	6	4	1	1	+11	13
2	Odd	6	4	1	1	+10	13
3	Brann	5	4	1	0	+9	13
4	Ranheim	6	4	1	1	+7	13
5	Molde	6	4	0	2	+7	12
6	Rosenborg	5	3	2	0	+9	11
7	Sarpsborg 08	6	3	2	1	+7	11
8	Kristiansund	6	3	1	2	+3	10
9	Stabaek	5	2	2	1	+1	8
10	Lillestrom	5	2	2	1	+1	8
11	Valerenga	5	2	2	1	-1	8
12	Haugesund	5	2	1	2	+0	7
13	Start	6	2	0	4	-6	6
14	Stromsgodset	5	1	2	2	+1	5
15	Bodo/Glimt	5	1	1	3	-3	4
16	Sandefjord	6	0	2	4	-4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brann	6	4	2	0	+5	14
2	Rosenborg	6	4	1	1	+3	13
3	Haugesund	6	3	2	1	+3	11
4	Valerenga	6	3	1	2	+1	10
5	Ranheim	5	3	1	1	+0	10
6	Sarpsborg 08	5	2	2	1	+0	8
7	Bodo/Glimt	6	1	2	3	-3	5
8	Molde	5	1	2	2	-5	5
9	Stromsgodset	6	1	1	4	-6	4
10	Tromso	5	1	1	3	-6	4
11	Kristiansund	5	0	3	2	-2	3
12	Odd	5	1	0	4	-6	3
13	Lillestrom	6	1	0	5	-7	3
14	Sandefjord	5	1	0	4	-11	3
15	Stabaek	6	0	2	4	-8	2
16	Start	5	0	1	4	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.