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La Liga
Referee: Ignacio Iglesias Villanueva
Alaves
S S T T U
2–1
Full-time
Espanol
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Espanol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,3
This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,0
Scored
0,0
1,5
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

36% Possession 64%
8 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 7
0 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
0 Corners 12
2 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alaves 17. · Espanol 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 3 3 0 0 +8 9
2 Celta 3 2 1 0 +3 7
3 Barcelona 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 Sevilla 2 1 1 0 +3 4
5 Levante 3 1 1 1 +2 4
6 Espanol 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 Ath Bilbao 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Huesca 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Sociedad 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Getafe 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Ath Madrid 3 1 1 1 -1 4
12 Girona 3 1 1 1 -2 4
13 Eibar 3 1 0 2 -2 3
14 Valladolid 3 0 2 1 -1 2
15 Valencia 3 0 2 1 -2 2
16 Villarreal 3 0 1 2 -2 1
17 Alaves 2 0 1 1 -3 1
18 Betis 2 0 1 1 -3 1
19 Leganes 3 0 1 2 -4 1
20 Vallecano 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alaves Espanol
Mubarak Wakaso 🟨
17′
Manu García 🟨
19′
Víctor Laguardia 🟨
39′
Fernando Pacheco 🟨
40′
42′
Léo Baptistão 0–1
44′
🟨 Sergi Darder
45′
🟨 Borja Iglesias
Half-time 1–1
1–1 Borja Bastón
57′
2–1 Rubén Sobrino
Jony
59′
J. Guidetti 🔁
↦ Borja Bastón
64′
67′
🔁 Óscar Melendo
↦ Granero
78′
🔁 H. Pérez
↦ Javi López
Adrián Marín 🔁
↦ Jony
81′
83′
🔁 P. Piatti
↦ Marc Roca
Ximo Navarro 🔁
↦ Ibai Gómez
85′
90′
🟨 Léo Baptistão
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Alaves

4-4-2
1 Fernando Pacheco G
5 Laguardia D
6 G. Maripán D
3 Rubén Duarte D
21 Martín D
22 M. Wakaso M
19 Manu García M
11 Ibai Gómez M
23 Jony M
18 Borja Bastón F
7 Rubén Sobrino F
Bench (7)
10 J. Guidetti
17 Adrián Marín
15 Ximo Navarro
13 Antonio Sivera
14 Burgui
24 P. Twumasi
27 Antonio Perera

Coach: Abelardo

Espanol

4-3-3
13 Diego López G
12 Dídac Vilá D
16 Javi López D
15 David López D
22 Mario Hermoso D
23 Granero M
10 Sergi Darder M
21 Marc Roca M
9 Sergio García F
11 Léo Baptistão F
7 Borja Iglesias F
Bench (7)
14 Óscar Melendo
17 H. Pérez
19 P. Piatti
1 Roberto Jiménez
4 Víctor Sánchez
6 Ó. Duarte
20 Javi Puado

Coach: Rubí

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ignacio Iglesias Villanueva · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.