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Primeira Liga

Referee: Helder Malheiro

Porto

S S S S T

3–0

Full-time

Moreirense

T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Porto Moreirense

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,3

Scored

2,3

0,7

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-1,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

5,0

3,0

Scored

3,3

1,3

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

50% Possession 50%

15 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

11 Corners 4

6 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Porto 7. · Moreirense 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	4	3	1	0	+7	10
2	Sp Braga	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Sp Lisbon	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	Maritimo	4	3	0	1	+1	9
5	Feirense	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	Rio Ave	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Porto	3	2	0	1	+5	6
8	Guimaraes	4	2	0	2	+0	6
9	Santa Clara	4	1	2	1	+1	5
10	Belenenses	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Vitoria Setubal	4	1	1	2	+0	4
12	Moreirense	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Boavista	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Chaves	4	1	0	3	-5	3
15	Nacional	4	1	0	3	-6	3
16	Tondela	4	0	2	2	-2	2
17	Portimonense	4	0	1	3	-5	1
18	Aves	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Rio Ave	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Maritimo	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Santa Clara	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Feirense	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Benfica	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Porto	2	1	0	1	+4	3
9	Vitoria Setubal	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Chaves	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Belenenses	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Aves	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Portimonense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Moreirense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Nacional	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Sp Lisbon	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Sp Braga	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Belenenses	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Boavista	3	1	1	1	+0	4
6	Porto	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Feirense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Nacional	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Santa Clara	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Rio Ave	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Portimonense	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Aves	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Chaves	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.