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Referee: M Krogh
Dynamo Kyiv
S U U T T
1–0
Full-time
Qarabag
T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dynamo Kyiv Qarabag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%
3 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 1
3 Corners 11
3 Offside 2
19 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Dynamo Kyiv Qarabag
1–0 M. Ponomarenko ⚽
10′
Vladyslav Dubinchak 🟨
14′
Half-time 1–0
62′
🔁 Kady Borges
↦ O. Kashchuk
62′
🔁 M. Qurbanly
↦ R. Cephas
N. Voloshyn 🔁
↦ E. Guerrero
69′
M. Shaparenko 🔁
↦ J. Lonwijk
69′
O. Tymchyk 🔁
↦ V. Dubinchak
69′
75′
🔁 B. Langa
↦ E. Cafarquliyev
75′
🔁 S. Lobato
↦ Pedro Bicalho
79′
🔁 J. Montiel
↦ M. Jankovic
V. Kabaev 🔁
↦ B. Redushko
80′
Tomasz Kędziora 🟨
81′
O. Pikhalyonok 🔁
↦ V. Rubchynskyi
87′
88′
🟥 Cebrail Makreckis
94′
🟨 Matheus Silva
Mykola Shaparenko 🟨
96′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Dynamo Kyiv

4-2-3-1
71 V. Surkis G
5 O. Sych D
94 T. Kedziora D
32 T. Mykhavko D
44 V. Dubinchak D
6 V. Brazhko M
15 V. Rubchynskyi M
39 E. Guerrero F
21 J. Lonwijk M
70 B. Redushko M
11 M. Ponomarenko F
Bench (12)
35 R. Neshcheret
43 I. Olkhovyi
7 A. Yarmolenko
8 O. Pikhalyonok
9 N. Voloshyn
10 M. Shaparenko
18 O. Tymchyk
22 V. Kabaev
29 V. Buyalskyy
40 K. Bilovar
66 A. Thiare
99 P. Mounguengue

Coach: Igor Kostyuk

Qarabag

4-2-3-1
99 M. Kochalski G
25 C. Makreckis M
2 Matheus Silva D
4 B. Varkonyi
44 E. Cafarquliyev D
35 Pedro Bicalho M
8 M. Jankovic M
7 J. Mouaddib M
10 A. Zoubir
29 R. Cephas F
21 O. Kashchuk M
Bench (11)
1 S. Mahammadaliyev
23 M. Zlomislic
5 B. Langa
9 J. Montiel
13 B. Mustafazada
20 Kady Borges
22 M. Qurbanly
32 H. Cabrayilzada
49 A. Bashirov
55 B. Huseynov
88 S. Lobato

Coach: Qurban Qurbanov

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Krogh · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.