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Eliteserien
Stromsgodset
S T U S T
3–1
Full-time
Aalesund
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Aalesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,8
3,5
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
This season — Eliteserien · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 32%
25%
38%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
50%
63%
Both score Ø 76%
88%
63%
Average goals
3,6
3,5
Scored
1,6
1,4
Conceded
2,0
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Stromsgodset 11. · Aalesund 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 8 6 1 1 +18 19
2 Stabaek 8 6 1 1 +10 19
3 Valerenga 9 5 2 2 +5 17
4 Odd 8 4 2 2 +4 14
5 Molde 8 4 1 3 +9 13
6 Sarpsborg 08 8 3 4 1 +5 13
7 Viking 8 4 1 3 +1 13
8 Mjondalen 9 3 3 3 -3 12
9 Aalesund 8 3 2 3 -6 11
10 Lillestrom 8 2 4 2 -1 10
11 Stromsgodset 8 2 3 3 -3 9
12 Start 8 2 3 3 -3 9
13 Haugesund 8 2 2 4 -11 8
14 Sandefjord 8 2 0 6 -7 6
15 Bodo/Glimt 9 1 2 6 -10 5
16 Tromso 9 1 1 7 -8 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.