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Primeira Liga

Referee: Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Benfica

S U S S S

6–0

Full-time

Vitoria Setubal

U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Vitoria Setubal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,7

This season — Primeira Liga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 46%

73%

18%

Points per game

2,4

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

55%

27%

Both score Ø 64%

64%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

2,1

1,1

Conceded

0,7

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,4

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

73% Possession 27%

25 Shots 5

14 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 8

12 Corners 2

2 Offside 1

20 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Benfica 3. · Vitoria Setubal 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	12	10	2	0	+26	32
2	Sp Lisbon	12	9	3	0	+18	30
3	Benfica	11	8	2	1	+15	26
4	Maritimo	12	7	2	3	+4	23
5	Sp Braga	11	7	1	3	+8	22
6	Rio Ave	11	5	2	4	+3	17
7	Boavista	12	5	1	6	-1	16
8	Belenenses	12	5	1	6	-3	16
9	Portimonense	12	4	3	5	-1	15
10	Chaves	12	4	2	6	-4	14
11	Guimaraes	11	4	2	5	-7	14
12	Tondela	12	3	3	6	-3	12
13	Pacos Ferreira	12	3	3	6	-9	12
14	Feirense	11	3	2	6	-4	11
15	Vitoria Setubal	11	2	4	5	-3	10
16	Aves	12	2	4	6	-8	10
17	Moreirense	12	1	4	7	-13	7
18	Estoril	12	2	1	9	-18	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	6	6	0	0	+20	18
2	Maritimo	7	5	2	0	+6	17
3	Benfica	5	5	0	0	+11	15
4	Sp Lisbon	6	4	2	0	+8	14
5	Portimonense	6	4	1	1	+6	13
6	Belenenses	6	4	1	1	+5	13
7	Sp Braga	5	4	0	1	+8	12
8	Boavista	6	4	0	2	+0	12
9	Pacos Ferreira	6	3	2	1	+2	11
10	Rio Ave	6	3	1	2	+2	10
11	Guimaraes	6	3	1	2	-4	10
12	Vitoria Setubal	6	2	3	1	+3	9
13	Chaves	5	2	1	2	+2	7
14	Tondela	6	2	1	3	+0	7
15	Feirense	6	2	1	3	-3	7
16	Aves	7	1	2	4	-7	5
17	Moreirense	5	0	3	2	-4	3
18	Estoril	5	1	0	4	-6	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	6	5	1	0	+10	16
2	Porto	6	4	2	0	+6	14
3	Benfica	6	3	2	1	+4	11
4	Sp Braga	6	3	1	2	+0	10
5	Rio Ave	5	2	1	2	+1	7
6	Chaves	7	2	1	4	-6	7
7	Maritimo	5	2	0	3	-2	6
8	Aves	5	1	2	2	-1	5
9	Tondela	6	1	2	3	-3	5
10	Boavista	6	1	1	4	-1	4
11	Feirense	5	1	1	3	-1	4
12	Guimaraes	5	1	1	3	-3	4
13	Moreirense	7	1	1	5	-9	4
14	Estoril	7	1	1	5	-12	4
15	Belenenses	6	1	0	5	-8	3
16	Portimonense	6	0	2	4	-7	2
17	Vitoria Setubal	5	0	1	4	-6	1
18	Pacos Ferreira	6	0	1	5	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.