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La Liga

Referee: Ignacio Iglesias Villanueva

Valencia

S S S S S

1–1

Full-time

Barcelona

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Barcelona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 92%

100%

83%

Points per game

3,0

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

4,3

2,5

Scored

3,3

2,2

Conceded

1,0

0,3

Goal diff per game

+2,3

+1,8

This season — La Liga · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 84%

75%

92%

Points per game

2,5

2,8

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

67%

58%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,6

3,1

Scored

2,7

2,8

Conceded

0,9

0,3

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+2,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

30% Possession 70%

9 Shots 12

1 Shots on target 8

2 Blocked shots 2

7 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 9

3 Offside 8

12 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valencia 2. · Barcelona 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	12	11	1	0	+29	34
2	Valencia	12	9	3	0	+21	30
3	Ath Madrid	13	7	6	0	+15	27
4	Real Madrid	13	8	3	2	+14	27
5	Sevilla	13	8	1	4	+3	25
6	Villarreal	13	6	3	4	+6	21
7	Sociedad	13	5	4	4	+3	19
8	Betis	13	5	3	5	-4	18
9	Celta	13	5	2	6	+5	17
10	Girona	13	4	5	4	-3	17
11	Leganes	13	5	2	6	-3	17
12	Getafe	12	4	4	4	+5	16
13	Levante	13	3	6	4	-6	15
14	Eibar	13	4	2	7	-13	14
15	Ath Bilbao	13	3	4	6	-4	13
16	Espanol	12	3	4	5	-6	13
17	La Coruna	13	3	3	7	-8	12
18	Malaga	13	2	1	10	-17	7
19	Las Palmas	13	2	1	10	-22	7
20	Alaves	13	2	0	11	-15	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	6	6	0	0	+18	18
2	Valencia	6	5	1	0	+14	16
3	Sevilla	6	5	1	0	+8	16
4	Real Madrid	7	4	2	1	+8	14
5	Betis	7	4	2	1	+5	14
6	Villarreal	6	4	1	1	+10	13
7	Celta	7	3	2	2	+2	11
8	Espanol	6	3	1	2	+2	10
9	Getafe	6	3	0	3	+5	9
10	Ath Madrid	5	2	3	0	+3	9
11	Sociedad	7	2	3	2	+2	9
12	Levante	8	2	3	3	-4	9
13	Eibar	6	2	2	2	+1	8
14	Ath Bilbao	6	2	2	2	+0	8
15	Leganes	6	2	2	2	-2	8
16	Girona	7	2	2	3	-3	8
17	Malaga	6	2	1	3	-3	7
18	La Coruna	7	2	1	4	-5	7
19	Alaves	7	1	0	6	-9	3
20	Las Palmas	6	1	0	5	-12	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	8	5	3	0	+12	18
2	Barcelona	6	5	1	0	+11	16
3	Valencia	6	4	2	0	+7	14
4	Real Madrid	6	4	1	1	+6	13
5	Sociedad	6	3	1	2	+1	10
6	Girona	6	2	3	1	+0	9
7	Leganes	7	3	0	4	-1	9
8	Sevilla	7	3	0	4	-5	9
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	-4	8
10	Getafe	6	1	4	1	+0	7
11	Celta	6	2	0	4	+3	6
12	Levante	5	1	3	1	-2	6
13	Eibar	7	2	0	5	-14	6
14	La Coruna	6	1	2	3	-3	5
15	Ath Bilbao	7	1	2	4	-4	5
16	Betis	6	1	1	4	-9	4
17	Las Palmas	7	1	1	5	-10	4
18	Alaves	6	1	0	5	-6	3
19	Espanol	6	0	3	3	-8	3
20	Malaga	7	0	0	7	-14	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.