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Eliteserien

Referee: Martin Lundby

Sarpsborg 08

U U U S T

1–0

Full-time

Aalesund

T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Aalesund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,8

3,0

Scored

2,3

0,7

Conceded

1,5

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,7

This season — Eliteserien · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 34%

43%

25%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

61%

46%

Both score Ø 61%

61%

Average goals

2,9

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

71% Possession 29%

18 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 2

0 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 3. · Aalesund 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	28	17	7	4	+36	58
2	Molde	28	15	5	8	+14	50
3	Sarpsborg 08	28	12	11	5	+13	47
4	Stromsgodset	28	13	8	7	+8	47
5	Brann	28	13	7	8	+16	46
6	Haugesund	28	11	6	11	-1	39
7	Odd	28	11	6	11	-11	39
8	Stabaek	28	10	8	10	-2	38
9	Valerenga	28	10	6	12	+3	36
10	Sandefjord	28	11	3	14	-10	36
11	Kristiansund	28	8	10	10	-4	34
12	Lillestrom	28	9	7	12	-4	34
13	Tromso	28	9	7	12	-9	34
14	Aalesund	28	7	8	13	-12	29
15	Sogndal	28	7	7	14	-13	28
16	Viking	28	5	6	17	-24	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stromsgodset	14	9	3	2	+13	30
2	Sarpsborg 08	14	8	5	1	+18	29
3	Odd	14	9	2	3	+3	29
4	Rosenborg	14	8	4	2	+18	28
5	Molde	14	9	1	4	+12	28
6	Brann	14	8	3	3	+15	27
7	Sandefjord	14	8	2	4	+9	26
8	Valerenga	14	7	4	3	+12	25
9	Haugesund	14	6	5	3	+4	23
10	Lillestrom	14	7	2	5	+4	23
11	Kristiansund	14	5	7	2	+5	22
12	Tromso	14	5	5	4	+4	20
13	Stabaek	14	6	2	6	-1	20
14	Aalesund	14	5	4	5	+3	19
15	Sogndal	14	5	4	5	+3	19
16	Viking	14	3	3	8	-10	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	14	9	3	2	+18	30
2	Molde	14	6	4	4	+2	22
3	Brann	14	5	4	5	+1	19
4	Stabaek	14	4	6	4	-1	18
5	Sarpsborg 08	14	4	6	4	-5	18
6	Stromsgodset	14	4	5	5	-5	17
7	Haugesund	14	5	1	8	-5	16
8	Tromso	14	4	2	8	-13	14
9	Kristiansund	14	3	3	8	-9	12
10	Lillestrom	14	2	5	7	-8	11
11	Valerenga	14	3	2	9	-9	11
12	Odd	14	2	4	8	-14	10
13	Aalesund	14	2	4	8	-15	10
14	Sandefjord	14	3	1	10	-19	10
15	Viking	14	2	3	9	-14	9
16	Sogndal	14	2	3	9	-16	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.