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Ligue 1

Referee: Francois Letexier

Monaco

T S S S U

1–2

Full-time

Paris SG

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Paris SG

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,8

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

33%

100%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,2

4,7

Scored

2,3

3,7

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+2,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 77%

69%

85%

Points per game

2,2

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

62%

77%

Both score Ø 46%

46%

Average goals

3,7

4,0

Scored

2,7

3,3

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+2,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

33% Possession 67%

8 Shots 18

2 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 4

4 Offside 4

17 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Monaco 3. · Paris SG 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	13	11	2	0	+34	35
2	Lyon	14	8	5	1	+22	29
3	Monaco	13	9	2	2	+22	29
4	Marseille	14	8	4	2	+10	28
5	Nantes	14	7	2	5	-2	23
6	Caen	14	7	1	6	-4	22
7	Montpellier	14	5	5	4	+4	20
8	St Etienne	14	5	4	5	-4	19
9	Rennes	14	5	3	6	-1	18
10	Amiens	14	5	3	6	-1	18
11	Troyes	14	5	3	6	-2	18
12	Dijon	14	5	3	6	-3	18
13	Bordeaux	14	4	5	5	-3	17
14	Toulouse	14	4	4	6	-7	16
15	Guingamp	14	4	3	7	-9	15
16	Angers	14	2	8	4	-6	14
17	Strasbourg	14	3	5	6	-9	14
18	Nice	14	4	2	8	-10	14
19	Lille	14	3	3	8	-10	12
20	Metz	14	1	1	12	-21	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	7	7	0	0	+21	21
2	Monaco	6	5	1	0	+17	16
3	Caen	8	5	1	2	+2	16
4	Lyon	7	4	3	0	+8	15
5	Marseille	7	4	2	1	+9	14
6	Nantes	6	4	1	1	+3	13
7	Dijon	8	4	1	3	+1	13
8	Montpellier	8	3	3	2	+4	12
9	Guingamp	7	3	3	1	+2	12
10	St Etienne	8	3	3	2	+0	12
11	Bordeaux	6	3	2	1	+3	11
12	Toulouse	6	3	2	1	+2	11
13	Troyes	8	3	2	3	+0	11
14	Amiens	6	3	1	2	+3	10
15	Rennes	7	3	1	3	+0	10
16	Nice	8	3	1	4	-2	10
17	Strasbourg	6	2	2	2	+2	8
18	Lille	7	2	2	3	-2	8
19	Angers	6	0	3	3	-7	3
20	Metz	7	0	0	7	-14	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	7	4	2	1	+14	14
2	Paris SG	6	4	2	0	+13	14
3	Marseille	7	4	2	1	+1	14
4	Monaco	7	4	1	2	+5	13
5	Angers	8	2	5	1	+1	11
6	Nantes	8	3	1	4	-5	10
7	Montpellier	6	2	2	2	+0	8
8	Rennes	7	2	2	3	-1	8
9	Amiens	8	2	2	4	-4	8
10	Troyes	6	2	1	3	-2	7
11	St Etienne	6	2	1	3	-4	7
12	Bordeaux	8	1	3	4	-6	6
13	Caen	6	2	0	4	-6	6
14	Strasbourg	8	1	3	4	-11	6
15	Dijon	6	1	2	3	-4	5
16	Toulouse	8	1	2	5	-9	5
17	Metz	7	1	1	5	-7	4
18	Lille	7	1	1	5	-8	4
19	Nice	6	1	1	4	-8	4
20	Guingamp	7	1	0	6	-11	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.