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Eliteserien

Referee: Dag Vidar Hafsaas

Aalesund

S T T U S

4–2

Full-time

Stromsgodset

T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Stromsgodset

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,0

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,7

This season — Eliteserien · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 35%

26%

43%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

57%

43%

Both score Ø 50%

52%

48%

Average goals

3,1

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

43% Possession 57%

20 Shots 16

6 Shots on target 8

9 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 10

3 Offside 4

10 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aalesund 14. · Stromsgodset 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	23	17	5	1	+36	56
2	Odd	23	12	5	6	+9	41
3	Haugesund	24	11	7	6	+5	40
4	Brann	23	11	5	7	+10	38
5	Molde	24	11	5	8	+5	38
6	Viking	24	10	6	8	-2	36
7	Sarpsborg 08	24	10	6	8	-3	36
8	Stromsgodset	23	10	5	8	+5	35
9	Sogndal	24	7	10	7	+0	31
10	Valerenga	24	8	6	10	+0	30
11	Tromso	24	8	6	10	-5	30
12	Bodo/Glimt	23	7	6	10	-3	27
13	Lillestrom	24	5	8	11	-7	23
14	Aalesund	23	6	5	12	-13	23
15	Stabaek	23	5	6	12	-7	21
16	Start	23	0	9	14	-30	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	11	11	0	0	+27	33
2	Brann	11	8	3	0	+16	27
3	Stromsgodset	12	8	3	1	+13	27
4	Haugesund	12	7	4	1	+12	25
5	Molde	12	7	3	2	+12	24
6	Sarpsborg 08	12	6	3	3	+7	21
7	Odd	12	6	3	3	+6	21
8	Valerenga	12	5	3	4	+7	18
9	Sogndal	12	4	6	2	+4	18
10	Tromso	12	5	3	4	+3	18
11	Viking	12	4	4	4	+0	16
12	Lillestrom	12	4	3	5	+2	15
13	Bodo/Glimt	12	4	3	5	-1	15
14	Aalesund	11	3	4	4	+2	13
15	Stabaek	11	3	1	7	-5	10
16	Start	12	0	4	8	-20	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	12	6	5	1	+9	23
2	Odd	11	6	2	3	+3	20
3	Viking	12	6	2	4	-2	20
4	Haugesund	12	4	3	5	-7	15
5	Sarpsborg 08	12	4	3	5	-10	15
6	Molde	12	4	2	6	-7	14
7	Sogndal	12	3	4	5	-4	13
8	Bodo/Glimt	11	3	3	5	-2	12
9	Valerenga	12	3	3	6	-7	12
10	Tromso	12	3	3	6	-8	12
11	Stabaek	12	2	5	5	-2	11
12	Brann	12	3	2	7	-6	11
13	Aalesund	12	3	1	8	-15	10
14	Stromsgodset	11	2	2	7	-8	8
15	Lillestrom	12	1	5	6	-9	8
16	Start	11	0	5	6	-10	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.