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Eliteserien
Referee: Kai Erik Steen
Stromsgodset
S T S S T
4–2
Full-time
Aalesund
T T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Aalesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,3
2,3
Scored
2,5
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,7
This season — Eliteserien · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 39%
54%
23%
Points per game
1,8
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
62%
46%
Both score Ø 50%
54%
46%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

62% Possession 38%
18 Shots 17
7 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stromsgodset 6. · Aalesund 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 14 10 3 1 +18 33
2 Odd 14 9 3 2 +9 30
3 Viking 14 8 2 4 +3 26
4 Haugesund 14 7 3 4 +6 24
5 Molde 14 7 3 4 +4 24
6 Stromsgodset 13 7 2 4 +7 23
7 Brann 14 7 2 5 +0 23
8 Sarpsborg 08 14 6 4 4 +0 22
9 Sogndal 14 4 6 4 +0 18
10 Lillestrom 14 4 5 5 +1 17
11 Tromso 14 4 4 6 -7 16
12 Aalesund 13 3 3 7 -3 12
13 Bodo/Glimt 14 3 3 8 -6 12
14 Valerenga 14 3 2 9 -6 11
15 Stabaek 14 3 1 10 -8 10
16 Start 14 0 6 8 -18 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stromsgodset Aalesund
5′
M. Abdellaoue 0–1
P. Larsen
1–1 M. Keita
P. Moen
17′
1–2 M. Kirkeskov
own goal
26′
34′
P. Larsen 1–3
A. Þrándarson
Half-time 2–3
2–3 L. Vilsvik
P. Moen
74′
77′
🔁 S. Fet
↦ M. Abdellaoue
80′
🟨 Bjorn Helge Riise
T. Sørum 🔁
↦ M. Keita
84′
85′
🔁 D. Grétarsson
↦ A. Arnarson
86′
🔁 F. Carlsen
↦ V. Hoff
Flamur Kastrati 🟨
90′
F. Kastrati 🔁
↦ Ø. Storflor
90′
3–3 F. Kastrati
Marcus Pedersen
97′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Stromsgodset

1 E. Pettersen G
4 K. Madsen D
3 J. Parr D
71 G. Valsvik D
26 L. Vilsvik D
8 P. Moen
9 Ø. Storflor F
77 M. Keita M
11 M. Rønning M
22 B. Adjei-Boateng M
10 Marcus Pedersen F
Bench (7)
23 T. Sørum
15 F. Kastrati
54 K. Ahlander
2 M. Hamoud
46 S. Johansen
17 C. Lindquist
30 Ł. Jarosiński

Aalesund

1 A. Lie G
5 O. Lie D
23 E. Skagestad
2 M. Kirkeskov D
22 A. Arnarson D
21 B. Riise M
10 P. Larsen M
11 A. Þrándarson M
18 V. Hoff M
30 M. Abdellaoue F
7 F. Boli F
Bench (6)
40 S. Fet
3 D. Grétarsson
8 F. Carlsen
20 T. Martinussen
24 L. Cramer
15 Marlinho

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Kai Erik Steen · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.