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Serie A
Referee: Piero Giacomelli
Genoa
U T T T S
1–1
Full-time
Roma
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Roma
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,8
This season — Serie A · 13/12 matches
Win Ø 49%
15%
83%
Points per game
0,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
31%
50%
Both score Ø 36%
38%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,6
Scored
0,8
1,9
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

33% Possession 67%
9 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 4
4 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Genoa 18. · Roma 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 14 11 3 0 +18 36
2 Napoli 13 11 2 0 +25 35
3 Juventus 13 10 1 2 +23 31
4 Roma 12 10 0 2 +15 30
5 Lazio 12 9 1 2 +18 28
6 Sampdoria 13 8 2 3 +9 26
7 Bologna 14 6 2 6 +0 20
8 Chievo 14 5 5 4 -4 20
9 Milan 13 6 1 6 +1 19
10 Torino 13 4 6 3 -2 18
11 Fiorentina 13 5 2 6 +4 17
12 Atalanta 13 4 4 5 +1 16
13 Cagliari 14 5 0 9 -11 15
14 Udinese 12 4 0 8 -5 12
15 Crotone 13 3 3 7 -13 12
16 Sassuolo 14 3 2 9 -16 11
17 Spal 14 2 4 8 -11 10
18 Genoa 13 2 3 8 -8 9
19 Verona 14 2 3 9 -17 9
20 Benevento 13 0 0 13 -27 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.