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Conference League
Referee: D Higler
Paks
T S
3–0
Full-time
AEK Larnaca
T S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paks AEK Larnaca
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Paks AEK Larnaca
1–0 Z. Haraszti ⚽
17′
Bálint Vécsei 🟨
24′
B. Tóth 🔁
↦ J. Hahn
41′
42′
🟨 Gus Ledes
Kristóf Papp 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–0
57′
🔁 Clarismario Rodrigues
↦ Á. Gyurcsó
2–0 B. Tóth ⚽
61′
66′
🔁 E. Cabrera
↦ Fran Sol
67′
🔁 M. Rohdén
↦ Gus Ledes
74′
🟨 Zlatan Alomerović
3–0 B. Ötvös ⚽
74′
75′
🔁 Bruno Gama
↦ M. Diemers
75′
🔁 G. Ekpolo
↦ F. Sánchez
S. Mezei 🔁
↦ Z. Haraszti
82′
B. Balogh 🔁
↦ B. Vécsei
82′
K. Horváth 🔁
↦ K. Papp
90′
D. Böde 🔁
↦ B. Tóth
90′
Ákos Kinyik 🟨
92′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Paks

3-5-2
1 P. Szappanos G
12 G. Vas D
2 Á. Kinyik D
23 B. Ötvös M
11 A. Osváth M
21 K. Papp M
5 B. Vécsei M
22 J. Windecker M
30 J. Szabó
10 Z. Haraszti F
9 J. Hahn F
Bench (10)
29 B. Tóth
26 S. Mezei
8 B. Balogh
19 K. Horváth
13 D. Böde
20 K. Kovács
25 B. Simon
77 Z. Gévay
17 B. Kocsis
7 A. Skribek

Coach: G. Bognár

AEK Larnaca

4-2-3-1
1 Z. Alomerović G
28 F. Sánchez D
15 H. Miličević D
27 V. Roberge D
14 Ángel García D
6 Jimmy M
7 Gus Ledes M
11 I. Faraj M
10 M. Diemers M
77 Á. Gyurcsó M
9 Fran Sol F
Bench (12)
20 Clarismario Rodrigues
19 E. Cabrera
8 M. Rohdén
16 Bruno Gama
22 G. Ekpolo
29 G. Naoum
24 D. Henriques
47 D. Vasiliou
38 I. Toumpas
51 A. Paraskevas
23 M. Demetriou
30 H. Andreou

Coach: Juan Ferrando

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Higler · 133 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.