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Eliteserien

Referee: Svein Oddvar Moen

Valerenga

U U T U T

1–2

Full-time

Sarpsborg 08

U S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Sarpsborg 08

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,3

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

This season — Eliteserien · 19/20 matches

Win Ø 39%

32%

45%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

42%

50%

Both score Ø 54%

53%

55%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,6

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%

16 Shots 17

6 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 3

2 Offside 6

12 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valerenga 12. · Sarpsborg 08 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	20	12	5	3	+23	41
2	Brann	21	10	7	4	+21	37
3	Sarpsborg 08	20	9	8	3	+12	35
4	Molde	20	9	4	7	+8	31
5	Haugesund	19	8	5	6	+3	29
6	Stabaek	20	8	5	7	-5	29
7	Odd	19	8	4	7	-6	28
8	Sandefjord	20	8	3	9	-5	27
9	Stromsgodset	20	6	8	6	-1	26
10	Lillestrom	20	7	5	8	-2	26
11	Aalesund	20	6	6	8	-1	24
12	Valerenga	19	6	6	7	-2	24
13	Sogndal	21	6	5	10	-7	23
14	Kristiansund	20	4	7	9	-11	19
15	Tromso	19	4	6	9	-14	18
16	Viking	20	3	6	11	-13	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brann	11	7	3	1	+20	24
2	Rosenborg	11	7	2	2	+15	23
3	Sarpsborg 08	11	6	4	1	+12	22
4	Stromsgodset	10	6	3	1	+10	21
5	Odd	10	6	2	2	+5	20
6	Sogndal	10	5	2	3	+6	17
7	Sandefjord	9	5	2	2	+5	17
8	Stabaek	11	5	2	4	+0	17
9	Molde	9	5	1	3	+8	16
10	Valerenga	9	4	4	1	+6	16
11	Haugesund	9	4	4	1	+4	16
12	Lillestrom	10	5	1	4	+2	16
13	Kristiansund	10	3	6	1	+3	15
14	Aalesund	10	4	2	4	+3	14
15	Tromso	9	2	4	3	-2	10
16	Viking	10	2	3	5	-3	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	9	5	3	1	+8	18
2	Molde	11	4	3	4	+0	15
3	Brann	10	3	4	3	+1	13
4	Sarpsborg 08	9	3	4	2	+0	13
5	Haugesund	10	4	1	5	-1	13
6	Stabaek	9	3	3	3	-5	12
7	Lillestrom	10	2	4	4	-4	10
8	Aalesund	10	2	4	4	-4	10
9	Sandefjord	11	3	1	7	-10	10
10	Valerenga	10	2	2	6	-8	8
11	Odd	9	2	2	5	-11	8
12	Tromso	10	2	2	6	-12	8
13	Viking	10	1	3	6	-10	6
14	Sogndal	11	1	3	7	-13	6
15	Stromsgodset	10	0	5	5	-11	5
16	Kristiansund	10	1	1	8	-14	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.