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Eliteserien
Referee: Rohit Saggi
Sarpsborg 08
S U U S T
2–1
Full-time
Odd
T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Odd
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — Eliteserien · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 43%
45%
41%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
55%
41%
Both score Ø 44%
55%
32%
Average goals
2,6
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
9 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 4. · Odd 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 23 15 5 3 +31 50
2 Brann 23 11 7 5 +21 40
3 Molde 23 12 4 7 +12 40
4 Sarpsborg 08 22 10 8 4 +8 38
5 Haugesund 22 10 6 6 +5 36
6 Stromsgodset 23 8 8 7 +0 32
7 Odd 22 9 5 8 -6 32
8 Sandefjord 23 9 3 11 -6 30
9 Stabaek 23 8 6 9 -8 30
10 Lillestrom 23 7 7 9 -5 28
11 Valerenga 22 7 6 9 -5 27
12 Kristiansund 23 6 8 9 -7 26
13 Sogndal 23 7 5 11 -7 26
14 Aalesund 23 6 7 10 -3 25
15 Tromso 23 5 7 11 -13 22
16 Viking 23 3 6 14 -17 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sarpsborg 08 Odd
T. Heintz 🔁
↦ N. Poulsen
8′
23′
🔁 M. Broberg
↦ E. Ruud
1–0 O. Halvorsen
31′
45′
🟨 Jone Samuelsen
Half-time 2–0
2–0 K. Zachariassen
A. Askar
48′
53′
E. Rashani 2–1
O. Berg
62′
🔁 S. Mladenovic
↦ Riku Riski
75′
🔁 J. Nilsen
↦ E. Hussain
Kristoffer Zachariassen 🟨
82′
J. Lindberg 🔁
↦ K. Diatta
84′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sarpsborg 08

4-4-2
21 A. Kristiansen
11 J. Jørgensen D
16 J. Thomassen D
15 S. Rosted D
8 M. Lund Nielsen M
7 O. Halvorsen M
6 N. Poulsen M
17 K. Zachariassen M
19 K. Diatta F
77 A. Askar D
69 P. Mortensen F
Bench (7)
14 T. Heintz
10 J. Lindberg
1 S. Čupić
13 O. Hansen
18 T. Hovda
29 A. Groven
20 A. Østli

Coach: G. Bakke

Odd

4-3-3
1 S. Rossbach G
2 E. Ruud D
21 S. Hagen D
16 F. Semb Berge D
5 T. Grøgaard D
8 J. Samuelsen M
20 E. Hussain M
6 O. Berg M
24 Riku Riski F
11 E. Rashani F
15 S. Haugen F
Bench (7)
7 M. Broberg
13 S. Mladenovic
18 J. Nilsen
9 T. Agdestein
30 A. Sureshkumar
4 V. Bergan
27 P. Diouf

Coach: D. Fagermo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Rohit Saggi · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.