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Champions League
Referee: Daniel Siebert
Kairat Almaty
S S T S T
0–1
Full-time
Levski Sofia
U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kairat Almaty Levski Sofia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 60%
60%
60%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
20%
40%
Both score Ø 30%
20%
40%
Average goals
1,6
2,4
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
0,6
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%
20 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Aug -26 Levski Sofia – Kairat Almaty 1–0

Match report

Kairat Almaty Levski Sofia
7′
🟨 Everton Bala
13′
⚽ Reinaldo 0–1
Everton Bala
Half-time 0–1
I. Bekbolat 🔁
↦ O. Baybek
46′
Olzhas Baibek 🟨
51′
Damir Kasabulat 🟨
60′
Edmilson 🔁
↦ D. Kasabulat
64′
73′
🟨 Aldair
79′
🔁 M. Soula
↦ A. Neves
79′
🔁 S. Hevertton
↦ A. Oko-Flex
79′
🔁 Maicon
↦ Everton Bala
83′
🔁 J. Perea
↦ Reinaldo
M. Birkurmanov 🔁
↦ M. Gual
84′
88′
🟨 Nikola Serafimov
89′
🟨 Juan Perea
92′
🔁 A. Mitkov
↦ Serginho
Gustavo Mendonca 🟨
94′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Kairat Almaty

4-2-3-1
1 T. Anarbekov G
4 D. Kasabulat D
25 A. Shirobokov D
44 Lucas Africo D
3 L. Mata D
8 O. Baybek M
13 J. Oksanen M
24 A. Mrynskiy M
22 G. Mendonsa M
19 O. Jukkola M
28 M. Gual F
Bench (12)
82 S. Kalmurza
30 D. Buch
9 Edmilson
15 M. Birkurmanov
27 M. Abish
32 A. Nurgaliev
20 E. Tapalov
5 L. Kurgin
6 A. Sadybekov
59 D. Tashpulatov
17 A. Tuyakbaev
81 I. Bekbolat

Coach: Rafael Urazbakhtin

Levski Sofia

4-2-3-1
92 S. Vutsov G
21 A. Neves D
50 K. Dimitrov D
31 N. Serafimov D
20 A. Centelles D
18 G. Trdin M
19 M. Moubarik M
11 A. Oko-Flex M
35 Serginho M
17 Everton Bala M
7 Reinaldo F
Bench (11)
78 M. Lukov
1 O. Vladimirov
4 C. Makoun
22 M. Soula
10 A. Mitkov
2 S. Hevertton
3 Maicon
9 J. Perea
77 A. Raychev
28 S. Stoyanchov
27 D. Kusso

Coach: Julio Velazquez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Daniel Siebert · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.