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Europa League
Referee: M Barbu
Hoffenheim
S T U S T
2–2
Full-time
Lyon
S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoffenheim Lyon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,2
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,40 xG 0,98
44% Possession 56%
18 Shots 11
12 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 9
8 Corners 8
4 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Hoffenheim Lyon
Anton Stach 🟨
6′
9′
🟨 Clinton Mata
Half-time 1–0
1–0 V. Gendrey ⚽
T. Bischof
47′
61′
🔁 R. Cherki
↦ G. Mikautadze
62′
🔁 M. Fofana
↦ S. Benrahma
62′
🔁 A. Maitland-Niles
↦ S. Kumbedi
62′
🔁 A. Lacazette
↦ G. Orban
66′
⚽ Abner 1–1
P. Kadeřábek 🔁
↦ A. Prass
67′
M. Bülter 🔁
↦ A. Kramarić
67′
H. Tabaković 🔁
↦ M. Moerstedt
75′
A. Hložek 🔁
↦ T. Bischof
76′
Arthur Chaves 🟨
78′
82′
🔁 C. Tolisso
↦ M. Caqueret
93′
⚽ A. Lacazette 1–2
2–2 U. Tohumcu ⚽
95′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Hoffenheim

3-4-1-2
1 O. Baumann G
35 Arthur Chaves D
16 A. Stach D
25 K. Akpoguma D
15 V. Gendrey M
11 F. Grillitsch M
7 T. Bischof M
22 A. Prass M
17 U. Tohumcu F
33 M. Moerstedt F
27 A. Kramarić F
Bench (12)
3 P. Kadeřábek
21 M. Bülter
26 H. Tabaković
23 A. Hložek
19 D. Jurásek
18 D. Samassékou
8 D. Geiger
10 M. Berisha
2 R. Hranáč
4 T. Drexler
29 J. Bruun Larsen
37 L. Philipp

Coach: P. Matarazzo

Lyon

3-4-3
40 R. Descamps G
22 Clinton Mata D
27 W. Omari D
55 D. Ćaleta-Car D
20 S. Kumbedi M
15 T. Tessmann M
6 M. Caqueret M
16 Abner M
17 S. Benrahma F
9 G. Orban F
69 G. Mikautadze F
Bench (12)
18 R. Cherki
11 M. Fofana
98 A. Maitland-Niles
10 A. Lacazette
8 C. Tolisso
12 W. Zaha
23 Lucas Perri
19 M. Niakhaté
3 N. Tagliafico
30 J. Bengui-João
29 E. Molébé
7 J. Veretout

Coach: P. Sage

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Barbu · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.