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Europa League
Referee: Luís Godinho
Bodo/Glimt
U U S T U
1–2
Full-time
Qarabag
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bodo/Glimt Qarabag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
3,8
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,2
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,3
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,7
0,3
Conceded
1,0
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-2,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,76 xG 0,74
55% Possession 45%
23 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 6
9 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 3
6 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Luís Godinho · 162 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.