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Europa League
Referee: M Jug
Galatasaray
S U U S S
4–3
Full-time
Elfsborg
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Galatasaray Elfsborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,2
Scored
2,5
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 2/10 matches
Win Ø 60%
50%
70%
Points per game
2,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
100%
30%
Both score Ø 65%
100%
30%
Average goals
4,0
2,5
Scored
2,5
1,8
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

3,34 xG 2,29
66% Possession 34%
23 Shots 14
11 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
5 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Galatasaray Elfsborg
1–0 M. Icardi ⚽
28′
38′
🟨 Terry Yegbe
1–1 I. Pettersson ⚽
own goal
39′
2–1 B. Yılmaz ⚽
Gabriel Sara
44′
Half-time 2–2
52′
⚽ N. Hult 2–2
S. Hedlund
62′
ℹ️ Ahmed Qasem
VAR: Penalty confirmed
65′
⚽ M. Baidoo 2–3
K. Demirbay 🔁
↦ B. Yılmaz
74′
B. Kutlu 🔁
↦ D. Mertens
74′
76′
🔁 A. Baldursson
↦ B. Zeneli
77′
🔁 J. Abdullai
↦ A. Zeneli
79′
🟨 Niklas Hult
82′
🔁 E. Holten
↦ M. Baidoo
82′
🔁 R. Kaib
↦ A. Qasem
3–3 Y. Akgün ⚽
83′
E. Jelert 🔁
↦ Y. Akgün
86′
M. Batshuayi 🔁
↦ V. Osimhen
86′
V. Nelsson 🔁
↦ L. Torreira
89′
90′
🔁 J. Larsson
↦ T. Yegbe
92′
⚽ J. Larsson 3–4
A. Baldursson
Michy Batshuayi ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
96′
Full-time 3–4

Line-ups

Galatasaray

3-4-1-2
19 G. Güvenç G
23 K. Ayhan D
6 D. Sánchez D
42 A. Bardakcı D
53 B. Yılmaz M
34 L. Torreira M
20 Gabriel Sara M
11 Y. Akgün M
10 D. Mertens F
45 V. Osimhen F
9 M. Icardi F
Bench (12)
8 K. Demirbay
18 B. Kutlu
24 E. Jelert
44 M. Batshuayi
25 V. Nelsson
58 A. Yeşilyurt
83 E. Akman
90 M. Baltacı
30 Y. Demir
38 A. Ordu
12 B. Şen
22 H. Ziyech

Coach: O. Buruk

Elfsborg

3-4-3
31 I. Pettersson G
29 I. Buhari D
8 S. Holmén D
2 T. Yegbe D
15 S. Hedlund M
16 T. Ouma M
27 B. Zeneli M
23 N. Hult M
9 A. Zeneli F
10 M. Baidoo F
18 A. Qasem F
Bench (10)
6 A. Baldursson
14 J. Abdullai
12 E. Holten
19 R. Kaib
13 J. Larsson
1 M. Uppenberg
30 M. Bundgaard
7 J. Thomasen
4 G. Henriksson
11 E. Guðmundsson

Coach: O. Hiljemark

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Jug · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.