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Bundesliga
Referee: Christian-Petru Ciochirca
1–3
Full-time
LASK
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsberger AC LASK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
3,7
Scored
1,3
2,8
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
25%
100%
Points per game
1,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
2,0
3,3
Scored
1,3
3,0
Conceded
0,8
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+2,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

35% Possession 65%
7 Shots 25
2 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 12
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 14
1 Offside 2
5 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolfsberger AC 6. · LASK 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 SK Rapid 4 4 0 0 +12 +6.6 12
2 LASK 4 4 0 0 +11 +8.6 12
3 Salzburg 4 3 1 0 +7 +7.5 10
4 Sturm Graz 5 2 2 1 +1 +2.4 8
5 Hartberg 5 2 0 3 -3 -4.3 6
6 Wolfsberger AC 4 1 2 1 +2 -4.1 5
7 A. Lustenau 5 1 2 2 -4 -3.2 5
8 Tirol 4 1 1 2 -1 -1.7 4
9 Ried 5 1 1 3 -4 -0.6 4
10 Grazer AK 5 1 1 3 -11 -3.3 4
11 Altach 5 1 0 4 -4 -1.6 3
12 Austria Vienna 4 1 0 3 -6 -6.2 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolfsberger AC LASK
R. Behounek 🟥
2′
33′
🟨 Y. Dibango
1–0 F. Wohlmuth
D. Avdijaj
34′
44′
🟨 M. Usor
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 G. Bello
↦ Y. Dibango
54′
X. Mbuyamba 1–1
56′
🔁 A. Schopf
↦ K. Danek
D. Fitz 🔁
↦ D. Avdijaj
65′
T. Schriebl 🔁
↦ M. Schabauer
65′
66′
🟨 X. Mbuyamba
68′
M. Bogarde 1–2
M. Usor
M. Pink 🔁
↦ G. Vrioni
69′
O. Mamageishvili 🟨
70′
71′
🔁 F. Flecker
↦ K. P. Molgaard Jorgensen
A. Schwarz 🔁
↦ R. Renner
81′
P. Verhounig 🔁
↦ O. Mamageishvili
81′
84′
A. Schopf 1–3
F. Flecker
88′
🔁 J. Ilk
↦ S. Horvath
88′
🔁 N. Kane
↦ M. Usor
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Wolfsberger AC

3-4-2-1
1 L. Gutlbauer G
6 R. Behounek D
8 S. Piesinger D
35 M. Kitz D
31 F. Wohlmuth M
30 M. Sulzner M
19 O. Mamageishvili M
77 R. Renner M
17 M. Schabauer F
10 D. Avdijaj F
9 G. Vrioni F
Bench (9)
12 L. Gliklich
70 D. Djuric
36 D. Fitz
34 E. Agyemang
20 T. Schriebl
7 L. Hassler
11 A. Schwarz
32 M. Pink
23 P. Verhounig

Coach: Thomas Silberberger

LASK

3-4-1-2
1 L. Jungwirth G
4 X. Mbuyamba D
43 J. Tornich D
16 A. Andrade D
20 K. P. Molgaard Jorgensen M
6 M. Bogarde M
30 S. Horvath M
25 Y. Dibango M
9 K. Danek F
8 M. Usor F
27 C. Lang F
Bench (9)
33 T. Schutzenauer
2 G. Bello
47 J. Ilk
3 M. Freckleton
52 K. Cheikne
21 M. Verhaeghe
29 F. Flecker
18 A. Schopf
45 N. Kane

Coach: Dietmar Kuhbauer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.