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Allsvenskan

Referee: J Östling

Malmo FF

U S T S S

0–1

Full-time

Sirius

T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF Sirius

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

100%

83%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

4,7

4,2

Scored

3,0

2,2

Conceded

1,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 16/15 matches

Win Ø 54%

75%

33%

Points per game

2,4

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 71%

75%

67%

Both score Ø 52%

50%

53%

Average goals

3,7

3,3

Scored

2,8

1,6

Conceded

0,9

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,83 xG 0,92

60% Possession 40%

26 Shots 11

9 Shots on target 3

8 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 9

8 Corners 10

1 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Malmo FF 1. · Sirius 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	16	12	2	2	+29	+14.6	38
2	Djurgarden	15	10	1	4	+15	+0.9	31
3	Mjallby	16	9	2	5	+7	-0.6	29
4	Elfsborg	16	8	1	7	+8	+4.3	25
5	Hammarby	15	8	1	6	+7	+0.3	25
6	GAIS	15	8	1	6	-1	-2.3	25
7	Hacken	16	7	3	6	+1	-3.3	24
8	AIK	15	6	2	7	-6	+0.8	20
9	Sirius	15	5	3	7	-1	+1.7	18
10	Varnamo	15	5	3	7	-3	-4.5	18
11	Brommapojkarna	15	4	6	5	-6	+1.9	18
12	Goteborg	15	5	3	7	-7	-3.4	18
13	Halmstad	15	6	0	9	-8	-3.4	18
14	Norrkoping	16	5	2	9	-17	-3.7	17
15	Kalmar	16	5	1	10	-12	-6.6	16
16	Vasteras SK	15	3	3	9	-6	+3.4	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	7	7	0	0	+19	+5.5	21
2	Mjallby	9	6	2	1	+8	+0.7	20
3	Elfsborg	8	6	1	1	+15	+4.0	19
4	GAIS	8	6	1	1	+6	+1.2	19
5	Djurgarden	8	5	1	2	+4	-2.1	16
6	AIK	7	5	0	2	+9	+2.1	15
7	Hammarby	7	5	0	2	+8	+0.2	15
8	Hacken	8	4	1	3	+3	-1.7	13
9	Halmstad	7	4	0	3	+4	+1.0	12
10	Norrkoping	8	4	0	4	-5	-1.4	12
11	Sirius	8	3	2	3	+4	+1.7	11
12	Goteborg	7	2	2	3	-5	-4.0	8
13	Kalmar	8	2	1	5	-4	-1.7	7
14	Vasteras SK	8	2	1	5	-5	+1.9	7
15	Brommapojkarna	7	1	3	3	-9	+0.0	6
16	Varnamo	8	1	2	5	-8	-1.6	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	9	5	2	2	+10	+9.1	17
2	Djurgarden	7	5	0	2	+11	+3.1	15
3	Varnamo	7	4	1	2	+5	-2.8	13
4	Brommapojkarna	8	3	3	2	+3	+1.8	12
5	Hacken	8	3	2	3	-2	-1.6	11
6	Hammarby	8	3	1	4	-1	+0.1	10
7	Goteborg	8	3	1	4	-2	+0.6	10
8	Mjallby	7	3	0	4	-1	-1.3	9
9	Kalmar	8	3	0	5	-8	-5.0	9
10	Sirius	7	2	1	4	-5	-0.0	7
11	Elfsborg	8	2	0	6	-7	+0.2	6
12	GAIS	7	2	0	5	-7	-3.5	6
13	Halmstad	8	2	0	6	-12	-4.4	6
14	Vasteras SK	7	1	2	4	-1	+1.5	5
15	Norrkoping	8	1	2	5	-12	-2.3	5
16	AIK	8	1	2	5	-15	-1.2	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.