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Pro League
Referee: Yusuke Araki
Cercle Brugge
U U T T T
0–3
Full-time
Gent
S U S S S
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cercle Brugge Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 5/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,4
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
40%
50%
Both score Ø 45%
40%
50%
Average goals
2,6
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,6
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%
9 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 0
1 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cercle Brugge 15. · Gent 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Club Brugge 6 5 0 1 +8 +4.7 15
2 Charleroi 6 5 0 1 +7 +4.5 15
3 St. Gilloise 5 4 1 0 +11 +1.2 13
4 Gent 4 4 0 0 +5 +2.2 12
5 Standard 5 3 2 0 +4 -0.4 11
6 St Truiden 6 2 3 1 +4 +1.0 9
7 Waregem 4 2 2 0 +5 +1.9 8
8 Genk 4 2 1 1 +4 +5.3 7
9 Lommel SK 5 2 1 2 +3 7
10 Lommel United 5 2 1 2 +3 -0.5 7
11 Antwerp 5 2 1 2 +0 -0.4 7
12 Anderlecht 4 2 0 2 -2 +2.7 6
13 Westerlo 6 1 1 4 -9 -4.9 4
14 Beveren 4 1 0 3 -8 -6.2 3
15 Cercle Brugge 5 0 2 3 -3 -0.2 2
16 Mechelen 5 0 2 3 -8 -1.0 2
17 RAAL La Louviere 5 0 1 4 -8 -3.0 1
18 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 4 0 0 4 -7 -3.5 0
19 Kortrijk 4 0 0 4 -9 -3.4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cercle Brugge Gent
21′
Emmanuel Kakou 1–0
own goal
Half-time 1–0
Erick Nunes 🔁
↦ Lucas Michal
61′
67′
🔁 László Bénes
↦ Michel Ange Balikwisha
67′
🔁 El Hadji Seck
↦ Momodou Sonko
Lazare Amani 🟨
70′
Krys-Anthony Madou Kouassi 🔁
↦ Lazare Amani
72′
Babatunde Jimoh Akinsola 🔁
↦ Emmanuel Kakou
72′
74′
ℹ️ Tiago Araújo
VAR: Penalty confirmed
77′
Tibe De Vlieger 1–1
78′
🔁 Leonardo Da Silva Lopes
↦ Mathias Delorge
Royer Caicedo 🔁
↦ Valy Konaté
81′
Abdoul Kader Ouattara 🔁
↦ Steve Ngoura
82′
89′
🔁 Maksim Paskotsi
↦ Matties Volckaert
89′
🔁 Abdoul Ayinde
↦ Tiago Araújo
92′
El Hadji Seck 1–2
Tibe De Vlieger
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Cercle Brugge

3-4-3
1 G. Coucke G
2 I. Diakité D
5 Emmanuel Kakou D
24 G. Kondo D
15 G. Magnée M
10 L. Amani M
42 L. Mondele M
12 V. Konaté M
71 V. Martens F
9 S. Ngoura F
22 L. Michal F
Bench (9)
30 B. Akinsola
33 R. Caicedo
8 Erick
41 K. Kouassi
84 B. Langenbick
21 Y. Lienard
28 H. Van der Bruggen
62 Ilian Temperman
7 Abdoul Ouattara

Coach: L. Friis

Gent

3-4-2-1
33 D. Roef G
5 M. Ngom D
16 C. Burgess D
44 S. Van der Heyden D
57 M. Volckaert M
27 T. De Vlieger M
17 M. Delorge-Knieper M
20 Tiago Araújo M
7 M. Balikwisha M
11 M. Sonko M
47 J. Y. Vergara Ortega F
Bench (9)
10 A. Omgba
3 M. Paskotši
30 K. Peersman
59 E. Seck
14 Kyrell Wilson
22 Leonardo Lopes
37 A. Kadri
8 L. Bénes
39 A. Ayindé

Coach: R. Demil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,75
U
3,49
B ✓
2,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,22
U1,5
3,90
O2,5 ✓
1,66
U2,5
2,13
O3,5
2,75
U3,5 ✓
1,36
Both teams to score
BLS ja
1,59
BLS nei ✓
2,21

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.