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Pro League

Referee: L D'hondt

Dender

S T S U T

2–1

Full-time

St Truiden

T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dender St Truiden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 16/20 matches

Win Ø 26%

31%

20%

Points per game

1,3

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

63%

65%

Both score Ø 67%

63%

70%

Average goals

2,9

3,3

Scored

1,4

1,2

Conceded

1,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,82 xG 1,68

44% Possession 56%

14 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 5

2 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dender 10. · St Truiden 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	16	12	2	2	+15	+17.0	38
2	Club Brugge	16	11	4	1	+23	+18.2	37
3	Anderlecht	16	9	5	2	+21	+9.2	32
4	Antwerp	15	9	5	1	+20	+2.1	32
5	St. Gilloise	16	8	6	2	+12	+14.8	30
6	Gent	18	7	8	3	+14	+0.1	29
7	Cercle Brugge	19	6	6	7	-10	-3.5	24
8	Charleroi	15	6	4	5	+2	+2.3	22
9	Standard	15	6	4	5	-7	-7.0	22
10	Dender	16	5	6	5	-2	-5.9	21
11	St Truiden	20	4	5	11	-20	-9.4	17
12	Mechelen	17	4	4	9	-5	-2.5	16
13	Westerlo	17	4	3	10	-5	+0.3	15
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	17	2	8	7	-6	-2.5	14
15	Kortrijk	20	3	2	15	-28	-14.6	11
16	Beerschot VA	19	1	6	12	-24	-18.6	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	9	8	1	0	+14	+11.2	25
2	Club Brugge	8	6	2	0	+17	+14.4	20
3	Anderlecht	9	5	3	1	+11	+3.6	18
4	St. Gilloise	7	6	0	1	+8	+12.6	18
5	Gent	8	5	2	1	+14	+3.1	17
6	Antwerp	7	5	1	1	+15	+4.6	16
7	Standard	7	5	1	1	+4	-2.2	16
8	Cercle Brugge	9	4	3	2	-1	+0.8	15
9	Charleroi	8	4	2	2	+4	+3.6	14
10	St Truiden	11	3	5	3	-2	+0.6	14
11	Mechelen	9	3	3	3	+4	+1.4	12
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	9	2	6	1	+3	+3.1	12
13	Westerlo	9	3	2	4	+4	+9.2	11
14	Kortrijk	10	3	0	7	-8	-2.3	9
15	Beerschot VA	9	1	5	3	-5	-6.1	8
16	Dender	7	1	3	3	-1	-2.0	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	8	5	2	1	+6	+3.7	17
2	Antwerp	8	4	4	0	+5	-2.5	16
3	Dender	9	4	3	2	-1	-3.8	15
4	Anderlecht	7	4	2	1	+10	+5.6	14
5	Genk	7	4	1	2	+1	+5.8	13
6	St. Gilloise	9	2	6	1	+4	+2.2	12
7	Gent	10	2	6	2	+0	-3.1	12
8	Cercle Brugge	10	2	3	5	-9	-4.2	9
9	Charleroi	7	2	2	3	-2	-1.2	8
10	Standard	8	1	3	4	-11	-4.9	6
11	Westerlo	8	1	1	6	-9	-8.9	4
12	Mechelen	8	1	1	6	-9	-3.9	4
13	St Truiden	9	1	0	8	-18	-10.0	3
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	8	0	2	6	-9	-5.6	2
15	Kortrijk	10	0	2	8	-20	-12.3	2
16	Beerschot VA	10	0	1	9	-19	-12.5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.