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Pro League

Referee: N Laforge

Anderlecht

T S S S T

4–1

Full-time

Mechelen

U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Mechelen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,0

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 40%

53%

27%

Points per game

1,9

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

53%

Both score Ø 54%

47%

60%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,9

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,86 xG 1,96

48% Possession 52%

14 Shots 13

8 Shots on target 7

0 Blocked shots 2

6 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

6 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Anderlecht 4. · Mechelen 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	15	11	2	2	+14	+15.0	35
2	Club Brugge	15	10	4	1	+22	+16.4	34
3	Antwerp	15	9	5	1	+20	+2.1	32
4	Anderlecht	15	8	5	2	+18	+9.3	29
5	Gent	16	7	6	3	+14	+0.3	27
6	St. Gilloise	15	7	6	2	+11	+13.0	27
7	Cercle Brugge	18	6	5	7	-10	-4.0	23
8	Charleroi	15	6	4	5	+2	+2.3	22
9	Dender	16	5	6	5	-2	-5.9	21
10	Standard	14	6	3	5	-7	-6.5	21
11	St Truiden	19	4	5	10	-19	-7.6	17
12	Mechelen	15	4	3	8	-2	-3.2	15
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	15	2	7	6	-5	-0.4	13
14	Westerlo	16	3	3	10	-6	-0.4	12
15	Kortrijk	19	3	2	14	-27	-13.9	11
16	Beerschot VA	18	1	6	11	-23	-16.6	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	8	7	1	0	+13	+9.2	22
2	Club Brugge	7	5	2	0	+16	+12.7	17
3	Gent	8	5	2	1	+14	+3.1	17
4	Antwerp	7	5	1	1	+15	+4.6	16
5	Standard	7	5	1	1	+4	-2.2	16
6	Anderlecht	8	4	3	1	+8	+3.7	15
7	St. Gilloise	6	5	0	1	+7	+10.8	15
8	Charleroi	8	4	2	2	+4	+3.6	14
9	Cercle Brugge	8	4	2	2	-1	+0.3	14
10	St Truiden	11	3	5	3	-2	+0.6	14
11	Westerlo	9	3	2	4	+4	+9.2	11
12	Mechelen	8	3	2	3	+4	+0.8	11
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	8	2	5	1	+3	+3.5	11
14	Kortrijk	9	3	0	6	-7	-1.6	9
15	Beerschot VA	9	1	5	3	-5	-6.1	8
16	Dender	7	1	3	3	-1	-2.0	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	8	5	2	1	+6	+3.7	17
2	Antwerp	8	4	4	0	+5	-2.5	16
3	Dender	9	4	3	2	-1	-3.8	15
4	Anderlecht	7	4	2	1	+10	+5.6	14
5	Genk	7	4	1	2	+1	+5.8	13
6	St. Gilloise	9	2	6	1	+4	+2.2	12
7	Gent	8	2	4	2	+0	-2.9	10
8	Cercle Brugge	10	2	3	5	-9	-4.2	9
9	Charleroi	7	2	2	3	-2	-1.2	8
10	Standard	7	1	2	4	-11	-4.4	5
11	Mechelen	7	1	1	5	-6	-4.0	4
12	St Truiden	8	1	0	7	-17	-8.2	3
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	7	0	2	5	-8	-3.8	2
14	Kortrijk	10	0	2	8	-20	-12.3	2
15	Westerlo	7	0	1	6	-10	-9.7	1
16	Beerschot VA	9	0	1	8	-18	-10.5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.