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Pro League

Referee: L D'hondt

Charleroi

S S S T S

1–0

Full-time

Gent

S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Gent

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

83%

67%

Points per game

2,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

2,2

2,0

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,16 xG 0,71

42% Possession 58%

17 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 0

2 Blocked shots 4

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 3

3 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 6

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Charleroi 8. · Gent 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Dender	3	2	1	0	+4	+0.3	7
2	Antwerp	2	2	0	0	+6	+1.9	6
3	Westerlo	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.7	6
4	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	1	2	0	+2	-1.4	5
5	St. Gilloise	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.4	4
6	Anderlecht	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.8	4
7	Standard	2	1	1	0	+1	-2.0	4
8	Charleroi	2	1	0	1	+2	+1.6	3
9	Gent	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.5	3
10	Mechelen	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.4	1
11	Club Brugge	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.6	1
12	Genk	2	0	1	1	-2	+2.8	1
13	Beerschot VA	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.7	1
14	Cercle Brugge	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.4	0
15	Kortrijk	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.2	0
16	St Truiden	3	0	0	3	-9	-4.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Westerlo	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.7	6
2	Dender	2	1	1	0	+3	+0.3	4
3	Anderlecht	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.8	4
4	Antwerp	1	1	0	0	+5	+0.8	3
5	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1	1	0	0	+2	-1.1	3
6	St. Gilloise	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.3	3
7	Standard	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
8	Club Brugge	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.4	1
9	Genk	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.7	1
10	Beerschot VA	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
11	Gent	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.0	0
12	Kortrijk	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
13	Charleroi	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
14	St Truiden	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Charleroi	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.7	3
2	Dender	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.0	3
3	Gent	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.5	3
4	Antwerp	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
5	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.4	2
6	Mechelen	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.4	1
7	Standard	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.7	1
8	St. Gilloise	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.0	1
9	Club Brugge	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
10	Genk	1	0	0	1	-2	+1.1	0
11	Beerschot VA	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.3	0
12	Kortrijk	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.7	0
13	Cercle Brugge	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.4	0
14	St Truiden	2	0	0	2	-6	-1.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.