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Pro League
Referee: L D'hondt
Charleroi
S S S T T
1–1
Full-time
Kortrijk
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Kortrijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,2
This season — Pro League · 19/24 matches
Win Ø 45%
47%
42%
Points per game
1,7
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
74%
33%
Both score Ø 49%
47%
50%
Average goals
3,1
2,4
Scored
1,8
1,4
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

59% Possession 41%
19 Shots 7
10 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 9
6 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Charleroi 7. · Kortrijk 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 22 18 2 2 +41 56
2 Anderlecht 21 13 7 1 +37 46
3 Club Brugge 20 12 5 3 +15 41
4 Antwerp 21 12 4 5 +15 40
5 Kortrijk 24 10 9 5 +8 39
6 Cercle Brugge 25 10 4 11 +5 34
7 Charleroi 19 9 5 5 +9 32
8 Genk 19 9 4 6 +16 31
9 St Truiden 26 9 4 13 -9 31
10 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 24 7 8 9 -4 29
11 Mechelen 21 9 2 10 -6 29
12 Standard 23 7 7 9 -11 28
13 Gent 18 7 6 5 +7 27
14 Eupen 24 7 5 12 -9 26
15 Oostende 23 8 2 13 -20 26
16 Waregem 23 6 5 12 -20 23
17 Seraing 23 6 1 16 -25 19
18 Seraing United 23 6 1 16 -25 19
19 Beerschot VA 23 4 3 16 -24 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Kortrijk
14′
L. Rougeaux 0–1
A. Kadri
1–1 V. Bayo
J. Kayembe
21′
39′
🟨 Abdelkahar Kadri
Half-time 1–1
Jackson Tchatchoua 🟨
63′
K. Nkuba 🔁
↦ A. Zaroury
71′
71′
🔁 M. Fixelles
↦ B. Messaoudi
79′
🟨 Lucas Rougeaux
Loic Bessile ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
80′
A. Benchaib 🔁
↦ J. Tchatchoua
81′
83′
🔁 J. Herrmann
↦ D. Mbayo
83′
🔁 V. Torp
↦ A. Kadri
Marco Ilaimaharitra 🟨
93′
94′
🟨 Kristof D'Haene
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Charleroi

3-5-2
1 B. Kamara G
12 J. Kayembe M
4 J. Van Cleemput D
5 L. Bessilé D
25 V. Ozornwafor D
44 R. Morioka M
26 M. Ilaimaharitra M
6 A. Zorgane M
38 J. Tchatchoua M
9 V. Bayo F
70 A. Zaroury F
Bench (7)
28 K. Nkuba
34 A. Benchaib
40 M. Chiacig
21 S. Andreou
3 S. Knežević
27 R. Donnez
14 N. Petkevičius

Coach: E. Still

Kortrijk

4-2-3-1
31 M. Ilić G
30 K. D'Haene D
6 L. Rougeaux D
66 A. Radovanović D
4 T. Watanabe D
8 A. Palaversa M
14 S. Sissoko M
18 A. Kadri M
29 M. Moreno M
9 B. Messaoudi F
7 D. Mbayo M
Bench (7)
11 M. Fixelles
39 J. Herrmann
21 V. Torp
27 M. Jonckheere
16 M. Deman
51 E. Ocansey
25 N. Mehssatou

Coach: K. Belhocine

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,94
U ✓
3,54
B
3,79
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,84
U2,5 ✓
1,96
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L D'hondt · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.