Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Aris
Atromitos
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Panathinaikos
|
10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +25 | 25 |
| 2 |
Olympiakos
|
10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +22 | 25 |
| 3 |
AEK
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 4 |
PAOK
|
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |
Lamia
|
11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 18 |
| 6 |
OFI Crete
|
10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +0 | 16 |
| 7 |
Aris Thessalonikis
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 8 |
Aris
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 |
Asteras Tripolis
|
11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 11 |
| 10 |
Panserraikos
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 9 |
| 11 |
Kifisia
|
11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -8 | 9 |
| 12 |
Giannina
|
11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 6 |
| 13 |
Volos NFC
|
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -9 | 6 |
| 14 |
Atromitos
|
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -12 | 6 |
| 15 |
Panetolikos
|
11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -15 | 6 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Aris
Giannina
Aris
Betis
Aris
Panserraikos
Aris
Rangers
Aris
Kifisia
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.