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Super League
Referee: L Piccolo
Luzern
U T T S T
2–0
Full-time
Grasshoppers
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Grasshoppers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 34%
42%
25%
Points per game
1,5
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
58%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
75%
75%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,54 xG 0,49
53% Possession 47%
19 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Luzern 5. · Grasshoppers 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Young Boys 12 7 4 1 +14 +1.1 25
2 Zurich 13 6 6 1 +11 -1.7 24
3 Servette 13 6 4 3 +3 +5.7 22
4 St. Gallen 12 6 3 3 +7 +4.7 21
5 Luzern 12 5 3 4 -2 -0.9 18
6 Lugano 12 5 1 6 +0 +3.4 16
7 Winterthur 13 4 4 5 -4 +0.3 16
8 Yverdon 12 4 4 4 -5 -5.1 16
9 Lausanne 13 4 3 6 +0 +2.0 15
10 Grasshoppers 12 3 2 7 -4 -1.7 11
11 Lausanne Ouchy 11 2 4 5 -8 -1.8 10
12 Basel 11 1 2 8 -12 -6.0 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Luzern Grasshoppers
1–0 T. Okou
P. Dorn
26′
Denis Simani 🟨
32′
37′
🟨 Kristers Tobers
45′
🟨 Awer Mabil
Half-time 1–0
Severin Ottiger 🟨
46′
2–0 A. Jashari
P. Dorn
48′
56′
🔁 A. Seko
↦ A. Mabil
L. Villiger 🔁
↦ S. Chader
59′
K. Spadanuda 🔁
↦ T. Okou
69′
73′
🔁 D. Kacuri
↦ A. Abrashi
73′
🔁 B. Fink
↦ D. Babunski
82′
🔁 E. Rastoder
↦ P. Schürpf
83′
🔁 F. de Carvalho
↦ G. Morandi
D. Ulrich 🔁
↦ K. Spadanuda
90′
J. Kadák 🔁
↦ M. Meyer
91′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Luzern

4-2-3-1
1 P. Loretz G
2 S. Ottiger D
4 L. Jaquez D
5 D. Simani D
13 M. Frýdek D
6 A. Jashari M
18 N. Beloko M
20 P. Dorn M
7 M. Meyer M
69 S. Chader M
11 T. Okou F
Bench (9)
27 L. Villiger
10 K. Spadanuda
16 J. Kadák
22 D. Ulrich
32 N. Haas
23 M. Willimann
41 N. Rupp
17 T. Klidje
90 V. Vasić

Coach: M. Frick

Grasshoppers

4-2-3-1
71 J. Hammel G
26 M. Paskotši D
4 K. Tobers D
5 J. Laws D
14 T. Ndicka D
7 T. Ndenge M
6 A. Abrashi M
21 A. Mabil M
8 G. Morandi M
11 P. Schürpf M
99 D. Babunski F
Bench (9)
15 A. Seko
17 D. Kacuri
9 B. Fink
74 E. Rastoder
77 F. de Carvalho
22 F. Momoh
57 E. Zukaj
73 F. Hoxha
29 M. Kuttin

Coach: B. Berner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Piccolo · 90 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.