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Ekstraklasa
Referee: B Frankowski
Slask Wroclaw
T S U S U
2–1
Full-time
LKS Lodz
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Slask Wroclaw LKS Lodz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
0,8
2,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-2,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 39%
62%
15%
Points per game
2,1
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
54%
54%
Both score Ø 47%
62%
31%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
1,8
0,5
Conceded
0,9
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
10 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 3
12 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Slask Wroclaw 3. · LKS Lodz 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Jagiellonia 14 9 2 3 +15 +6.2 29
2 Lech Poznan 14 8 4 2 +9 -3.4 28
3 Slask Wroclaw 13 8 3 2 +12 +4.1 27
4 Pogon Szczecin 14 8 1 5 +12 +8.1 25
5 Rakow 12 7 2 3 +9 +6.0 23
6 Legia 12 6 2 4 +2 +2.0 20
7 Zaglebie 13 6 2 5 -2 -0.9 20
8 Radomiak Radom 13 5 3 5 +0 +0.5 18
9 Warta Poznan 14 4 5 5 +0 -1.2 17
10 Piast Gliwice 14 2 10 2 +0 +10.6 16
11 Gornik Zabrze 13 4 4 5 -2 -6.8 16
12 Korona Kielce 13 3 6 4 +0 -0.9 15
13 Stal Mielec 14 4 3 7 -3 -6.1 15
14 Widzew Lodz 13 4 3 6 -3 -3.7 15
15 Cracovia 12 3 6 3 -4 -0.2 15
16 Puszcza 14 2 4 8 -14 -8.2 10
17 Ruch Chorzow 13 1 5 7 -11 -3.1 8
18 LKS Lodz 13 2 1 10 -20 -3.2 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Slask Wroclaw LKS Lodz
1–0 Erik Expósito
12′
41′
🟨 Adrien Louveau
Half-time 1–0
56′
🟨 Adam Marciniak
C. Borthwick-Jackson 🔁
↦ P. Schwarz
67′
P. Samiec-Talar 🔁
↦ B. İnce
67′
73′
🔁 B. Szeliga
↦ A. Tutyškinas
78′
S. Jurić 1–1
K. Dankowski
M. Rzuchowski 🔁
↦ P. Olsen
81′
K. Zohorè 🔁
↦ E. Matsenko
81′
Michał Rzuchowski 🟨
85′
88′
🔁 E. Hoti
↦ P. Janczukowicz
P. Szwedzik 🔁
↦ Nahuel Leiva
89′
92′
🔁 M. Śliwa
↦ Dani Ramírez
2–1 P. Samiec-Talar
C. Borthwick-Jackson
96′
Piotr Samiec-Talar 🟨
97′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Slask Wroclaw

4-1-4-1
12 R. Leszczyński G
19 P. Janasik D
2 A. Paluszek D
5 A. Petkov D
33 E. Matsenko
16 P. Pokorný M
26 B. İnce M
8 P. Olsen M
17 P. Schwarz M
10 Nahuel Leiva M
9 Erik Expósito F
Bench (9)
3 C. Borthwick-Jackson
24 P. Samiec-Talar
28 M. Rzuchowski
7 K. Zohorè
21 P. Szwedzik
6 S. Lewkot
14 M. Wróblewski
23 D. Łukasik
30 B. Głogowski

Coach: J. Magiera

LKS Lodz

4-4-2
99 D. Arndt G
8 K. Dankowski D
4 Nacho Monsalve D
88 A. Marciniak D
3 A. Tutyškinas D
16 Dani Ramírez M
14 M. Mokrzycki M
24 A. Louveau M
37 P. Głowacki M
21 S. Jurić F
20 P. Janczukowicz F
Bench (9)
26 B. Szeliga
11 E. Hoti
23 M. Śliwa
28 M. Lorenc
17 G. Glapka
77 R. Gonçalves
2 L. Gülen
1 A. Bobek
7 A. Małachowski

Coach: P. Stokowiec

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Frankowski · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.