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Pro League
Referee: W De Cremer
Gent
T S S S S
1–2
Full-time
Charleroi
T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,7
Scored
2,2
1,8
Conceded
0,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 52%
57%
46%
Points per game
1,9
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
46%
66%
Both score Ø 43%
43%
43%
Average goals
2,4
3,1
Scored
1,6
1,7
Conceded
0,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

58% Possession 42%
23 Shots 13
10 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 8
13 Corners 3
0 Offside 3
7 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Gent 4. · Charleroi 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 35 25 6 4 +43 81
2 St. Gilloise 35 25 5 5 +55 80
3 Anderlecht 35 21 9 5 +49 72
4 Gent 35 20 8 7 +31 68
5 Antwerp 35 19 6 10 +14 63
6 Genk 35 18 6 11 +27 60
7 Charleroi 35 16 8 11 +11 56
8 St Truiden 36 16 6 14 +2 54
9 Mechelen 35 15 5 15 -5 50
10 Cercle Brugge 36 13 9 14 +4 48
11 Kortrijk 36 11 10 15 -1 43
12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 36 10 12 14 -13 42
13 Oostende 36 11 8 17 -26 41
14 Standard 36 10 9 17 -19 39
15 Waregem 36 9 8 19 -30 35
16 Eupen 36 8 9 19 -25 33
17 Seraing United 36 9 5 22 -37 32
18 Seraing 34 8 4 22 -38 28
19 Beerschot VA 36 5 4 27 -41 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Charleroi
15′
A. Gholizadeh 0–1
R. Morioka
1–1 M. Ngadeu
A. Castro-Montes
40′
Tarik Tissoudali 🟨
44′
44′
🟨 Valentine Ozornwafor
Half-time 1–1
C. De Schrevel 🔁
↦ L. Fortin
46′
58′
🟨 Ali Gholizadeh
69′
🔁 A. Descotte
↦ N. Petkevičius
B. Godeau 🔁
↦ J. Torunarigha
78′
83′
🔁 M. Wasinski
↦ A. Zorgane
S. Marreh 🔁
↦ S. Kums
84′
I. Cissé 🔁
↦ M. Ngadeu
90′
Y. Malede 🔁
↦ T. Tissoudali
91′
91′
🔁 F. Ferraro
↦ A. Gholizadeh
92′
D. Heymans 1–2
K. Nkuba
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Gent

3-4-1-2
26 L. Fortin G
5 M. Ngadeu D
25 Núrio Fortuna M
20 J. Torunarigha D
21 A. Hanche-Olsen D
14 A. Castro-Montes F
8 V. Odjidja-Ofoe F
24 S. Kums M
6 E. Owusu M
18 M. Samoise M
34 T. Tissoudali F
Bench (7)
30 C. De Schrevel
31 B. Godeau
22 S. Marreh
23 Y. Malede
16 I. Cissé
19 G. Bruno
15 A. Oladoye

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Charleroi

3-5-2
16 H. Koffi G
3 S. Knežević D
21 S. Andreou D
25 V. Ozornwafor D
44 R. Morioka M
8 A. Gholizadeh F
18 D. Heymans M
6 A. Zorgane M
7 I. Mbenza M
14 N. Petkevičius F
28 K. Nkuba M
Bench (7)
15 A. Descotte
31 M. Wasinski
29 F. Ferraro
5 L. Bessilé
40 M. Chiacig
1 B. Kamara
39 K. Lokembo

Coach: E. Still

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,58
U
4,24
B ✓
5,11
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,60
U2,5
2,30
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W De Cremer · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.