Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–2
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Genk
|
25 | 20 | 4 | 1 | +45 | 64 |
| 2 |
St. Gilloise
|
24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | +25 | 57 |
| 3 |
Antwerp
|
23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | +29 | 52 |
| 4 |
Charleroi
|
30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | +1 | 44 |
| 5 |
Gent
|
23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | +17 | 42 |
| 6 |
Club Brugge
|
23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | +15 | 42 |
| 7 |
Anderlecht
|
29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | +10 | 42 |
| 8 |
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
|
31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | +7 | 42 |
| 9 |
Cercle Brugge
|
24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | +8 | 39 |
| 10 |
St Truiden
|
30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -4 | 39 |
| 11 |
Westerlo
|
24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | +6 | 36 |
| 12 |
Mechelen
|
30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -12 | 36 |
| 13 |
Standard
|
23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | +1 | 34 |
| 14 |
Kortrijk
|
31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | -18 | 33 |
| 15 |
Eupen
|
31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | -21 | 30 |
| 16 |
Waregem
|
30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | -22 | 27 |
| 17 |
Oostende
|
31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -29 | 25 |
| 18 | Seraing | 28 | 5 | 4 | 19 | -29 | 19 |
| 19 |
Seraing United
|
28 | 5 | 4 | 19 | -29 | 19 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Cercle Brugge
Mechelen
Waregem
Charleroi
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.