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Pro League
Referee: N Laforge
Mechelen
S T S T S
2–2
Full-time
Charleroi
S S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 35%
30%
39%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
65%
61%
Both score Ø 59%
57%
61%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
1,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

41% Possession 59%
10 Shots 17
7 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 14. · Charleroi 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 21 18 2 1 +41 56
2 St. Gilloise 20 16 3 1 +24 51
3 Antwerp 20 14 3 3 +22 45
4 Club Brugge 20 11 5 4 +16 38
5 St Truiden 25 10 8 7 +1 38
6 Anderlecht 25 11 4 10 +9 37
7 Gent 19 11 3 5 +17 36
8 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 26 9 7 10 +6 34
9 Cercle Brugge 19 8 6 5 +4 30
10 Standard 20 9 3 8 +1 30
11 Charleroi 23 9 3 11 -6 30
12 Kortrijk 26 8 4 14 -17 28
13 Westerlo 21 7 6 8 +1 27
14 Mechelen 23 7 4 12 -11 25
15 Eupen 26 7 4 15 -19 25
16 Waregem 24 6 5 13 -16 23
17 Oostende 26 5 4 17 -29 19
18 Seraing 24 5 3 16 -22 18
19 Seraing United 24 5 3 16 -22 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Charleroi
1–0 N. Storm
K. Mrabti
5′
2–0 G. Hairemans
N. Storm
27′
Rob Schoofs 🟥
40′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 N. Štulić
↦ I. Mbenza
46′
🔁 J. Van Cleemput
↦ M. Boukamir
46′
🔁 S. Knežević
↦ J. Bager
54′
🟨 Nikola Štulić
66′
A. Zorgane 2–1
V. Bayo
67′
A. Zorgane 2–2
J. Van Cleemput
J. Ngoy 🔁
↦ N. Storm
68′
N. Mukau 🔁
↦ G. Hairemans
73′
76′
🔁 A. Hosseinzadeh
↦ K. Nkuba
76′
🔁 J. Tchatchoua
↦ D. Heymans
83′
🟨 Adem Zorgane
Y. Malede 🔁
↦ K. Mrabti
84′
94′
🟨 Joris Kayembe Ditu
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Mechelen

4-2-3-1
1 G. Coucke G
6 J. Van Hecke D
27 D. Bates D
18 A. Van Hoorenbeeck D
21 B. Bolingoli-Mbombo D
66 B. Verstraete M
16 R. Schoofs M
7 G. Hairemans M
19 K. Mrabti M
11 N. Storm M
22 Alessio Da Cruz F
Bench (7)
9 J. Ngoy
34 N. Mukau
10 Y. Malede
15 Y. Thoelen
28 F. Soelle Soelle
35 B. Bafdili
23 E. Agyei

Coach: S. Defour

Charleroi

3-5-2
16 H. Koffi G
2 J. Bager D
25 D. Marcq D
32 M. Boukamir D
28 K. Nkuba M
18 D. Heymans M
26 M. Ilaimaharitra M
6 A. Zorgane M
12 J. Kayembe M
9 V. Bayo F
7 I. Mbenza F
Bench (7)
19 N. Štulić
4 J. Van Cleemput
3 S. Knežević
99 A. Hosseinzadeh
38 J. Tchatchoua
1 P. Patron
10 Y. Badji

Coach: F. Mazzù

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,25
U ✓
3,52
B
3,00
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,80
U2,5
2,00
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Laforge · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.