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La Liga
Referee: Pablo González
Sociedad
S S S T U
0–1
Full-time
Valladolid
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Valladolid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 9%
17%
0%
Average goals
1,7
1,5
Scored
1,3
0,2
Conceded
0,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,2
This season — La Liga · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 48%
63%
32%
Points per game
2,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
37%
42%
Both score Ø 37%
47%
26%
Average goals
2,4
2,2
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
0,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,24 xG 0,70
55% Possession 45%
15 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
0 Corners 4
2 Offside 7
17 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sociedad 3. · Valladolid 17.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 19 16 2 1 +32 +1.0 50
2 Real Madrid 20 14 3 3 +23 +3.5 45
3 Sociedad 19 12 3 4 +10 -0.0 39
4 Ath Madrid 20 10 5 5 +12 +3.8 35
5 Villarreal 20 9 4 7 +5 +0.6 31
6 Betis 20 9 4 7 +4 +0.1 31
7 Ath Bilbao 20 8 5 7 +8 -0.0 29
8 Vallecano 19 8 5 6 +3 -0.5 29
9 Osasuna 20 8 5 7 +0 -2.8 29
10 Mallorca 20 8 4 8 -2 -2.2 28
11 Girona 20 6 6 8 -2 -1.0 24
12 Celta 20 6 5 9 -10 -1.2 23
13 Almeria 19 6 4 9 -6 +0.9 22
14 Sevilla 19 5 6 8 -5 +4.1 21
15 Espanol 20 4 9 7 -6 +0.8 21
16 Valencia 20 5 5 10 +1 -3.2 20
17 Valladolid 19 6 2 11 -14 -2.8 20
18 Cadiz 20 4 7 9 -18 -0.4 19
19 Getafe 20 4 6 10 -10 -0.4 18
20 Elche 20 1 6 13 -25 -0.3 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sociedad Valladolid
Diego Rico 🟨
24′
27′
🟨 Javi Sánchez
31′
🟨 Lucas Olaza
38′
🟨 Óscar Plano
40′
🟨 Martin Hongla
Ander Barrenetxea 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
Aihen Muñoz 🔁
↦ Diego Rico
46′
Brais Méndez 🔁
↦ Barrenetxea
46′
58′
🔁 C. Larin
↦ Sergio León
59′
🔁 Iván Sánchez
↦ Óscar Plano
Mikel Oyarzabal 🔁
↦ Robert Navarro
62′
67′
🔁 Álvaro Aguado
↦ Kike Pérez
Asier Illarramendi 🟨
69′
73′
C. Larin 0–1
Luis Pérez
Olasagasti 🔁
↦ Illarramendi
77′
Carlos Fernández 🔁
↦ Pablo Marín
84′
84′
🔁 J. El Yamiq
↦ M. Hongla
84′
🔁 Lucas Rosa
↦ G. Plata
92′
🟨 Cyle Larin
Carlos Fernández 🟨
95′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-3-2-1
1 Álex Remiro G
7 Barrenetxea D
5 Zubeldia D
24 R. Le Normand D
15 Diego Rico D
42 Pablo Marín M
3 Martín Zubimendi M
4 Illarramendi M
14 T. Kubo M
17 Robert Navarro M
19 A. Sørloth F
Bench (9)
12 Aihen Muñoz
23 Brais Méndez
10 Mikel Oyarzabal
31 Olasagasti
9 Carlos Fernández
13 Andoni Zubiaurre
22 Beñat Turrientes
28 Ander Martín
30 Urko González

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Valladolid

4-2-3-1
1 Jordi Masip G
2 Luis Pérez D
20 M. Hongla D
5 Javier Sánchez D
12 L. Olaza D
8 Monchu M
4 Kike Pérez M
11 G. Plata M
10 Óscar Plano M
22 D. Machís M
7 Sergio León F
Bench (10)
25 C. Larin
21 Iván Sánchez
6 Álvaro Aguado
15 J. El Yamiq
39 Lucas Rosa
32 David Torres
13 Asenjo
18 Escudero
9 S. Amallah
27 Iván Fresneda

Coach: Pacheta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,43
U
4,40
B ✓
8,29
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,05
U2,5 ✓
1,79
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Pablo González · 106 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.