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Süper Lig
Referee: M Erdoğan
Hatayspor
U U T S T
1–0
Full-time
Kasimpasa
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hatayspor Kasimpasa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,3
4,7
Scored
0,8
2,3
Conceded
2,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+0,0
This season — Süper Lig · 20/21 matches
Win Ø 27%
25%
29%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
60%
62%
Both score Ø 56%
50%
62%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
0,9
1,3
Conceded
1,9
1,9
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
13 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 0
1 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 8
1 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hatayspor 18. · Kasimpasa 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Galatasaray 21 16 3 2 +29 51
2 Fenerbahce 21 14 3 4 +28 45
3 Buyuksehyr 21 12 4 5 +11 40
4 Besiktas 21 11 6 4 +15 39
5 Ad. Demirspor 21 10 8 3 +18 38
6 Trabzonspor 21 11 5 5 +6 38
7 Kayserispor 21 10 2 9 +4 32
8 Konyaspor 21 6 9 6 +2 27
9 Karagumruk 21 6 8 7 +3 26
10 Gaziantep 22 6 7 9 +1 25
11 Alanyaspor 22 6 7 9 -8 25
12 Sivasspor 22 6 6 10 -5 24
13 Antalyaspor 21 7 3 11 -8 24
14 Ankaragücü 21 6 4 11 -9 22
15 Kasimpasa 21 6 4 11 -13 22
16 Giresunspor 21 5 6 10 -18 21
17 İstanbulspor 22 6 3 13 -22 21
18 Hatayspor 20 5 5 10 -20 20
19 Ümraniyespor 21 3 5 13 -14 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hatayspor Kasimpasa
Zé Luís 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–0
57′
🔁 F. Koita
↦ M. Ben Ouannes
Rúben Ribeiro 🔁
↦ E. Aksoy
58′
S. Lobzhanidze 🔁
↦ J. Dudziak
58′
63′
🟨 Valentin Eysseric
Rúben Ribeiro 🟨
64′
64′
🟨 Mickael Tirpan
M. Çağıran 🔁
↦ M. Boudjemaa
70′
74′
🔁 A. Gholizadeh
↦ H. Hajradinović
75′
🔁 A. Engin
↦ M. Chouiar
C. Atsu 🔁
↦ R. Aabid
82′
B. Yıldırım 🔁
↦ Zé Luís
82′
91′
🟨 Bengali-Fodé Koita
96′
🔁 T. Torun
↦ V. Eysseric
1–0 C. Atsu
97′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Hatayspor

4-3-2-1
1 E. Kardeşler G
22 K. Alıcı D
86 B. Bekaroğlu D
15 R. Yılmaz D
57 E. Aksoy D
10 R. Aabid M
8 M. Boudjemaa M
26 K. Kanak M
25 A. El Kaabi M
71 J. Dudziak M
29 Zé Luís F
Bench (10)
7 Rúben Ribeiro
11 S. Lobzhanidze
6 M. Çağıran
30 C. Atsu
99 B. Yıldırım
31 A. Yiğiter
4 O. Ergün
77 S. Baş
23 S. Adekugbe
61 A. Yıldız

Coach: V. Demirel

Kasimpasa

4-3-3
22 E. Canpolat G
2 Fabiano D
15 T. Serbest D
4 R. Donk D
58 Y. Özcan D
13 V. Eysseric M
24 M. Tirpan M
10 H. Hajradinović M
12 M. Ben Ouannes F
7 M. Fall F
16 M. Chouiar F
Bench (10)
9 F. Koita
88 A. Gholizadeh
17 A. Engin
8 T. Torun
41 B. Kalkan
23 M. Yıldırım
11 Y. Mallı
1 E. Taşkıran
19 S. Bahoken
6 D. Graovac

Coach: S. İnan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,36
U
3,60
B
2,78
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,66
U2,5 ✓
2,21
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Erdoğan · 19 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.