Ligue 1
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Auxerre
Reims
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris SG
|
22 | 17 | 3 | 2 | +37 | +4.1 | 54 |
| 2 |
Marseille
|
21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | +25 | +0.3 | 46 |
| 3 |
Lens
|
21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | +18 | +0.1 | 45 |
| 4 |
Monaco
|
22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | +19 | +1.0 | 44 |
| 5 |
Rennes
|
22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | +16 | +1.1 | 40 |
| 6 |
Lille
|
22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | +11 | +1.0 | 38 |
| 7 |
Lorient
|
21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | +1 | -4.2 | 35 |
| 8 |
Lyon
|
22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | +9 | +2.0 | 32 |
| 9 |
Nice
|
21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | +4 | +1.3 | 31 |
| 10 |
Clermont
|
22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | -5 | -0.3 | 30 |
| 11 |
Reims
|
21 | 6 | 11 | 4 | +0 | +4.4 | 29 |
| 12 |
Toulouse
|
22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | -2 | +0.2 | 29 |
| 13 |
Nantes
|
21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | -5 | -1.3 | 22 |
| 14 |
Montpellier
|
21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -12 | -5.0 | 20 |
| 15 |
Brest
|
21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -11 | -1.2 | 19 |
| 16 |
Troyes
|
22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -15 | -2.6 | 19 |
| 17 |
Ajaccio
|
21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | -19 | +0.8 | 18 |
| 18 |
Strasbourg
|
21 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -14 | -1.2 | 15 |
| 19 |
Auxerre
|
21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | -28 | +1.3 | 13 |
| 20 |
Angers
|
21 | 2 | 2 | 17 | -29 | -1.9 | 8 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
I. Radu
G
R. Raveloson
D
S. Touré
D
G. Mensah
D
H. Massengo
M
G. Hein
M
Nuno da Costa
M
M. Abline
F
Coach: C. Pélissier
Y. Diouf
G
E. Agbadou
D
T. De Smet
D
M. Munetsi
M
J. Cajuste
M
J. Ito
M
K. Doumbia
M
F. Balogun
F
Coach: W. Still
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Monaco
Auxerre
Auxerre
Montpellier
Niort
Auxerre
Lens
Auxerre
Auxerre
Toulouse
P Gaillouste · 98 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.