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Pro League
Referee: L D'hondt
Antwerp
T U U S U
2–0
Full-time
Gent
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antwerp Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
2,0
3,0
Conceded
1,0
0,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+2,8
This season — Pro League · 16/15 matches
Win Ø 65%
69%
60%
Points per game
2,2
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
56%
53%
Both score Ø 43%
38%
47%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
0,9
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
11 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Antwerp 3. · Gent 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 16 14 1 1 +31 43
2 St. Gilloise 16 13 2 1 +20 41
3 Antwerp 16 11 2 3 +14 35
4 Club Brugge 16 10 2 4 +15 32
5 St Truiden 20 8 6 6 +1 30
6 Gent 15 9 2 4 +15 29
7 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 19 8 5 6 +9 29
8 Anderlecht 18 8 2 8 +8 26
9 Cercle Brugge 16 7 5 4 +4 26
10 Charleroi 19 8 1 10 -6 25
11 Westerlo 16 6 4 6 +1 22
12 Standard 15 7 1 7 +0 22
13 Eupen 21 7 1 13 -15 22
14 Mechelen 18 5 4 9 -7 19
15 Kortrijk 19 5 3 11 -17 18
16 Oostende 21 5 3 13 -22 18
17 Waregem 19 4 4 11 -17 16
18 Seraing 19 4 2 13 -17 14
19 Seraing United 19 4 2 13 -17 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Antwerp Gent
1–0 M. Balikwisha
10′
35′
🔁 B. Godeau
↦ J. Torunarigha
44′
🟨 Paul Nardi
Half-time 1–0
Jurgen Ekkelenkamp 🟨
57′
2–0 V. Janssen
64′
Jelle Bataille 🟨
68′
68′
🔁 M. Samoise
↦ B. Godeau
68′
🔁 V. Odjidja-Ofoe
↦ J. De Sart
69′
🔁 L. Depoitre
↦ H. Cuypers
B. Nsimba 🔁
↦ M. Balikwisha
74′
P. Gerkens 🔁
↦ J. Ekkelenkamp
74′
M. Frey 🔁
↦ V. Janssen
77′
78′
🔁 Núrio Fortuna
↦ A. Hjulsager
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Antwerp

4-2-3-1
1 J. Butez G
34 J. Bataille D
23 T. Alderweireld D
51 W. Pacho D
22 G. Ávila D
14 C. Stengs M
48 A. Vermeeren M
11 A. Muja M
24 J. Ekkelenkamp M
10 M. Balikwisha M
18 V. Janssen F
Bench (7)
17 B. Nsimba
16 P. Gerkens
99 M. Frey
50 L. Krasniqi
26 O. De Wolf
33 Z. Van Den Bosch
7 V. Fischer

Coach: M. van Bommel

Gent

3-4-1-2
1 P. Nardi G
2 J. Okumu D
5 M. Ngadeu D
23 J. Torunarigha D
17 A. Hjulsager M
24 S. Kums M
13 J. De Sart M
14 A. Castro-Montes M
7 Hong Hyun-Seok F
11 H. Cuypers F
16 I. Salah F
Bench (7)
31 B. Godeau
18 M. Samoise
8 V. Odjidja-Ofoe
29 L. Depoitre
25 Núrio Fortuna
33 D. Roef
6 E. Owusu

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,46
U
3,36
B
2,79
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,98
U2,5 ✓
1,82
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L D'hondt · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.