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Eredivisie
Referee: M van den Kerkhof
Cambuur
T U T S T
0–5
Full-time
Ajax
S U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cambuur Ajax
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
0,3
1,5
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,8
This season — Eredivisie · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 35%
16%
53%
Points per game
0,6
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
47%
63%
Both score Ø 48%
21%
74%
Average goals
2,2
3,8
Scored
0,6
2,7
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

25% Possession 75%
4 Shots 20
1 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 8
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 6
0 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 6
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cambuur 17. · Ajax 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 19 12 6 1 +27 42
2 AZ Alkmaar 20 12 5 3 +16 41
3 PSV Eindhoven 19 12 2 5 +24 38
4 Ajax 19 10 7 2 +30 37
5 Twente 17 10 5 2 +20 35
6 Sparta Rotterdam 18 9 6 3 +15 33
7 Utrecht 19 8 6 5 +0 30
8 Waalwijk 20 6 8 6 +0 26
9 Heerenveen 19 6 6 7 -3 24
10 Nijmegen 19 4 11 4 +3 23
11 For Sittard 20 6 5 9 -8 23
12 Vitesse 20 4 8 8 -12 20
13 Excelsior 20 6 2 12 -23 20
14 Go Ahead Eagles 19 4 7 8 -8 19
15 Volendam 20 4 5 11 -23 17
16 FC Emmen 20 3 7 10 -19 16
17 Cambuur 19 3 3 13 -19 12
18 Groningen 19 3 3 13 -20 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cambuur Ajax
16′
D. Tadić 0–1
D. Klaassen
36′
S. Berghuis 0–2
M. Kudus
Half-time 0–2
M. Paulissen 🔁
↦ F. Smand
46′
R. Balk 🔁
↦ M. Hoedemakers
58′
B. Johnsen 🔁
↦ S. van der Water
58′
59′
🟨 Owen Wijndal
Michael Breij 🟨
60′
64′
S. Berghuis 0–3
D. Tadić
Remco Balk 🟨
68′
Alex Bangura 🟨
71′
73′
🔁 J. Hato
↦ O. Wijndal
73′
🔁 B. Brobbey
↦ D. Tadić
M. Mahi 🔁
↦ M. Breij
74′
79′
B. Brobbey 0–4
V. Pichel 🔁
↦ N. Foor
80′
85′
🔁 Y. Regeer
↦ K. Taylor
86′
🔁 Francisco Conceição
↦ D. Klaassen
86′
🔁 K. Fitz-Jim
↦ D. Rensch
93′
B. Brobbey 0–5
S. Berghuis
Full-time 0–5

Line-ups

Cambuur

5-4-1
12 R. Ruiter G
24 S. van Wermeskerken D
15 M. Tol D
33 F. Smand D
4 L. Bergsma D
16 A. Bangura D
14 M. Breij M
21 D. van Kaam M
6 M. Hoedemakers M
19 N. Foor M
11 S. van der Water F
Bench (12)
10 M. Paulissen
30 R. Balk
9 B. Johnsen
25 M. Mahi
38 V. Pichel
17 B. Rienstra
27 S. Sylla
31 B. Minnema
1 João Virgínia
28 R. Uldriķis
5 D. Schmidt
39 M. Smit

Coach: S. Ultee

Ajax

4-3-3
12 G. Rulli G
15 D. Rensch D
4 E. Álvarez D
2 J. Timber D
5 O. Wijndal D
23 S. Berghuis M
8 K. Taylor M
6 D. Klaassen M
20 M. Kudus F
10 D. Tadić F
7 S. Bergwijn F
Bench (12)
57 J. Hato
9 B. Brobbey
26 Y. Regeer
35 Francisco Conceição
28 K. Fitz-Jim
41 S. Vos
19 J. Sánchez
3 C. Bassey
1 M. Stekelenburg
43 O. Aertssen
22 R. Pasveer
18 L. Lucca

Coach: J. Heitinga

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
10,69
U
6,00
B ✓
1,25
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,51
U2,5
2,52
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M van den Kerkhof · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.