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Pro League
Referee: N Verboomen
Standard
S U T T S
1–3
Full-time
St. Gilloise
S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Standard St. Gilloise
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
0,8
2,7
Scored
0,3
1,8
Conceded
0,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,0
This season — Pro League · 34/28 matches
Win Ø 52%
29%
75%
Points per game
1,1
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
38%
68%
Both score Ø 49%
47%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,4
Scored
0,9
2,5
Conceded
1,4
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

44% Possession 56%
5 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 7
0 Offside 6
18 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Standard 13. · St. Gilloise 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 28 21 4 3 +47 67
2 Club Brugge 29 20 5 4 +35 65
3 Antwerp 29 19 4 6 +22 61
4 Anderlecht 28 17 8 3 +43 59
5 Gent 28 15 7 6 +21 52
6 St Truiden 35 15 6 14 -1 51
7 Charleroi 28 14 7 7 +15 49
8 Mechelen 29 14 5 10 +1 47
9 Cercle Brugge 34 13 7 14 +4 46
10 Kortrijk 35 11 10 14 +0 43
11 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 35 10 12 13 -8 42
12 Genk 27 12 5 10 +16 41
13 Standard 34 10 9 15 -14 39
14 Oostende 35 10 8 17 -28 38
15 Waregem 35 9 8 18 -27 35
16 Eupen 34 8 9 17 -18 33
17 Seraing 33 8 4 21 -36 28
18 Seraing United 33 8 4 21 -36 28
19 Beerschot VA 35 5 4 26 -36 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Standard St. Gilloise
9′
T. Teuma 0–1
Mathieu Cafaro 🟨
20′
21′
🔁 D. Marcq
↦ T. Teuma
1–1 M. Sissako
24′
Joachim Van Damme 🟨
28′
36′
🟨 Christian Burgess
Half-time 1–1
G. Cimirot 🔁
↦ J. Van Damme
57′
S. Bastien 🔁
↦ S. Amallah
57′
Gilles Dewaele 🟨
61′
70′
B. Nieuwkoop 1–2
J. Bager
N. Nkounkou 🔁
↦ D. Pavlović
78′
D. Drăguş 🔁
↦ M. Carcela-González
79′
N. Ngoy 🔁
↦ N. Dussenne
79′
83′
C. Nielsen 1–3
K. Mitoma
85′
🔁 I. Kandouss
↦ S. Van der Heyden
86′
🔁 Cameron Puertas
↦ L. Amani
Samuel Bastien 🟨
88′
88′
🟨 Casper Nielsen
89′
🔁 Álex Millán
↦ K. Mitoma
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Standard

3-5-2
30 L. Henkinet G
6 N. Dussenne D
2 G. Dewaele M
5 M. Sissako D
10 M. Carcela-González F
13 J. Van Damme M
20 M. Bokadi D
24 M. Cafaro M
19 S. Amallah M
4 D. Pavlović M
18 R. Emond F
Bench (7)
8 G. Cimirot
28 S. Bastien
14 N. Nkounkou
7 D. Drăguş
33 N. Ngoy
40 M. Epolo
23 A. Tapsoba

Coach: L. Elsner

St. Gilloise

3-5-2
49 A. Moris G
2 B. Nieuwkoop M
16 C. Burgess D
4 J. Bager D
44 S. Van der Heyden D
17 T. Teuma M
6 C. Nielsen M
8 L. Amani M
9 D. Undav F
94 L. Lapoussin F
18 K. Mitoma M
Bench (7)
25 D. Marcq
59 I. Kandouss
23 Cameron Puertas
11 Álex Millán
24 I. Ziani
19 G. François
21 L. Pirard

Coach: F. Mazzù

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,93
U
3,77
B ✓
1,68
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,94
U2,5
1,84
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Verboomen · 117 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.