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Pro League
Referee: N Verboomen
St. Gilloise
S S U S S
2–1
Full-time
Genk
T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
2,5
2,0
Conceded
0,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+0,7
This season — Pro League · 21/18 matches
Win Ø 66%
81%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
71%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
48%
67%
Average goals
3,6
3,7
Scored
2,8
2,3
Conceded
0,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,9
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

35% Possession 65%
8 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 6
2 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St. Gilloise 1. · Genk 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 21 17 2 2 +40 53
2 Anderlecht 20 12 7 1 +36 43
3 Club Brugge 20 12 5 3 +15 41
4 Antwerp 20 12 3 5 +15 39
5 Kortrijk 24 10 9 5 +8 39
6 Charleroi 19 9 5 5 +9 32
7 Genk 18 9 4 5 +17 31
8 Cercle Brugge 24 9 4 11 +3 31
9 St Truiden 25 9 3 13 -9 30
10 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 24 7 8 9 -4 29
11 Mechelen 20 9 2 9 -5 29
12 Standard 23 7 7 9 -11 28
13 Gent 18 7 6 5 +7 27
14 Eupen 24 7 5 12 -9 26
15 Oostende 23 8 2 13 -20 26
16 Waregem 22 6 5 11 -18 23
17 Seraing 23 6 1 16 -25 19
18 Seraing United 23 6 1 16 -25 19
19 Beerschot VA 23 4 3 16 -24 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Sep -21 Genk – St. Gilloise 1–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,92
U
3,80
B
3,55
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,58
U2,5
2,32
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Verboomen · 117 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.